Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26482666›Full record

Observational studyPediatrics2015

Derivation of Candidate Clinical Decision Rules to Identify Infants at Risk for Central Apnea.

Paul Walsh, Pádraig Cunningham, Sabrina Merchant, Nicholas Walker, Jacquelyn Heffner, Lucas Shanholtzer, Stephen J Rothenberg

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Pediatrics, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Paul WalshPediatric Emergency Medicine, Sutter Medical Center, Sacramento, California; Department of Emergency Medicine, University of California Davis, Sacramento, California; Department of Emergency Medicine, Kern Medical Center, Bakersfield, California; Walshp@sutterhealth.org.
Pádraig CunninghamSchool of Computer Science, University College Dublin, Belfield, Dublin, Ireland; and.
Sabrina MerchantDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Kern Medical Center, Bakersfield, California;
Nicholas WalkerDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Kern Medical Center, Bakersfield, California;
Jacquelyn HeffnerDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Kern Medical Center, Bakersfield, California;
Lucas ShanholtzerDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Kern Medical Center, Bakersfield, California;
Stephen J RothenbergInstituto Nacional de Salud Pública, Centro de Investigación en Salud Poblacional, Cuernavaca, Morelos, Mexico.

Funding

DANGER: Developing the Next Generation of Emergency Medicine ResearchersK12HL108964 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA AT DAVIS · PI HOLMES, JAMES F., KUPPERMANN, NATHAN · 2011 to 2015
$3.1M
NHLBI NIH HHS 5K12HL108964-02NHLBI NIH HHS K12 HL108964
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

objectivesCentral apnea complicates, and may be the presenting complaint in, bronchiolitis. Our objective was to prospectively derive candidate clinical decision rules (CDRs) to identify infants in the emergency department (ED) who are at risk for central apnea.

methodsWe conducted a prospective observational study over 8 years. The primary outcome was central apnea subsequent to the initial ED visit. Infants were enrolled if they presented with central apnea or bronchiolitis. We excluded infants with obstructive apnea, neonatal jaundice, trauma, or suspected sepsis. We developed 3 candidate CDRs by using 3 techniques: (1) Poisson regression clustered on the individual, (2) classification and regression tree analysis (CART), and (3) a random forest (RF).

resultsWe analyzed 990 ED visits for 892 infants. Central apnea subsequently occurred in the hospital in 41 (5%) patients. Parental report of apnea, previous history of apnea, congenital heart disease, birth weight ≤2.5 kg, lower weight, and age ≤6 weeks all identified a group at high risk for subsequent central apnea. All CDRs and RFs were 100% sensitive (95% confidence interval [CI] 91%-100%) and had a negative predictive value of 100% (95% CI 99%-100%) for the subsequent apnea. Specificity ranged from 61% to 65% (95% CI 58%-68%) for CDRs based on Poisson models; 65% to 77% (95% CI 62%-90%) for CART; and 81% to 91% (95% CI 78%-92%) for RF models.

conclusionsAll candidate CDRs had a negative predictive value of 100% for subsequent central apnea.

Indexed as

BronchiolitisClinical Decision-MakingComorbidityFemaleHumansInfantMalePredictive Value of TestsProspective StudiesROC CurveSleep Apnea, Central

Identifiers

PMID26482666
PMCPMC4621801

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.