Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26479422›Full record

ArticleLiver transplantation : official publication of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases and the International Liver Transplantation Society2016

Intention to treat outcome of T1 hepatocellular carcinoma with the "wait and not ablate" approach until meeting T2 criteria for liver transplant listing.

Neil Mehta, Monika Sarkar, Jennifer L Dodge, Nicholas Fidelman, John P Roberts, Francis Y Yao

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Liver transplantation : official publication of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases and the International Liver Transplantation Society, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 30 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
30citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.4field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

30 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 63 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. The Size-Growth Rate Relationship in Hepatocellular Carcinoma.JGH open : an open access journal of gastroenterology and hepatology · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Neoadjuvant treatment strategies for hepatocellular carcinoma.World journal of gastrointestinal surgery · 2021
    Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. Predictors of low risk for dropout from the liver transplant waiting list for hepatocellular carcinoma in long wait time regions: Implications for organ allocation.American journal of transplantation : official journal of the American Society of Transplantation and the American Society of Transplant Surgeons · 2019
    Article
  18. Metabolic factors affecting hepatocellular carcinoma in steatohepatitis.Liver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver · 2019
    Article
  19. Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Neil MehtaDivisions of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, CA.
Monika SarkarDivisions of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, CA.
Jennifer L DodgeTransplant Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of California, San Francisco, CA.
Nicholas FidelmanInterventional Radiology, Department of Radiology, University of California, San Francisco, CA.
John P RobertsTransplant Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of California, San Francisco, CA.
Francis Y YaoDivisions of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, CA.
University of California, San Francisco · US

Funding

UCSF Liver Core CenterP30DK026743 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI Holger Willenbring · 1986 to 2026
$30.7M
NIDDK NIH HHS P30 DK026743
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Patients with T1 hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC; 1 lesion < 2 cm) are currently not eligible for priority listing for liver transplantation (LT). A common practice is to wait without locoregional therapy (LRT) until tumor growth occurs from T1 to T2 (1 lesion 2-5 cm or 2-3 lesions ≤ 3 cm) to be eligible for listing with Model for End-Stage Liver Disease exception. We aimed to evaluate the intention to treat outcome of the "wait and not ablate" approach for nonresection candidates with T1 HCC until tumor growth to T2. The study included 114 patients with T1 HCC 1.0-1.9 cm followed by serial imaging every 3 months. Two investigators performed independent imaging reviews to confirm the diagnosis. Median increase in total tumor diameter was 0.14 cm/month. Probabilities of progression from T1 to directly beyond T2 without LT listing were 4.4% at 6 months and 9.0% at both 12 and 24 months. The 1- and 3-year survival was 94.5% and 75.5%. In multivariate analysis, predictors of rapid tumor progression, defined as a > 1 cm increase in total tumor diameter over 3 months, included alcoholic liver disease (odds ratio [OR], 6.52; P = 0.02) and Hispanic race (OR, 3.86; P = 0.047), whereas hepatitis B appeared to be protective (OR, 0.09; P = 0.04). By competing risks regression, predictors of exclusion from LT (with or without listing for LT under T2) were alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) ≥ 500 ng/mL (HR, 12.69; 95% confidence interval, 2.8-57.0; P = 0.001) and rapid tumor progression (HR, 5.68; P < 0.001). In conclusion, the "wait and not ablate" approach until tumor growth from T1 to T2 before LT listing is associated with a <10% risk of tumor progression to directly beyond T2 criteria. However, patients with AFP ≥ 500 ng/mL and rapid tumor progression are at high risk for wait-list dropout and should receive early LRT.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedAlgorithmsalpha-FetoproteinsCarcinoma, HepatocellularCohort StudiesDisease-Free SurvivalDisease ProgressionEnd Stage Liver DiseaseFemaleHepatitis BHumansIntention to Treat AnalysisKaplan-Meier EstimateLiver Diseases, Alcoholicalpha-Fetoproteins

Identifiers

PMID26479422
PMCPMC4803445
OpenAlexW2140631690

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.