Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26478209›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2015

The Scaling of Human Contacts and Epidemic Processes in Metapopulation Networks.

Michele Tizzoni, Kaiyuan Sun, Diego Benusiglio, Márton Karsai, Nicola Perra

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Michele TizzoniComputational Epidemiology Laboratory, ISI Foundation, via Alassio 11/C, 10126, Torino, Italy.
Kaiyuan SunLaboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-technical Systems, Northeastern University, Boston MA 02115 USA.
Diego BenusiglioComputational Epidemiology Laboratory, ISI Foundation, via Alassio 11/C, 10126, Torino, Italy.
Márton KarsaiLaboratoire de l'Informatique du Parallélisme, INRIA-UMR 5668, IXXI, ENS de Lyon, 69364 Lyon, France.
Nicola PerraLaboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-technical Systems, Northeastern University, Boston MA 02115 USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We study the dynamics of reaction-diffusion processes on heterogeneous metapopulation networks where interaction rates scale with subpopulation sizes. We first present new empirical evidence, based on the analysis of the interactions of 13 million users on Twitter, that supports the scaling of human interactions with population size with an exponent γ ranging between 1.11 and 1.21, as observed in recent studies based on mobile phone data. We then integrate such observations into a reaction- diffusion metapopulation framework. We provide an explicit analytical expression for the global invasion threshold which sets a critical value of the diffusion rate below which a contagion process is not able to spread to a macroscopic fraction of the system. In particular, we consider the Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered epidemic model. Interestingly, the scaling of human contacts is found to facilitate the spreading dynamics. This behavior is enhanced by increasing heterogeneities in the mobility flows coupling the subpopulations. Our results show that the scaling properties of human interactions can significantly affect dynamical processes mediated by human contacts such as the spread of diseases, ideas and behaviors.

Indexed as

EpidemicsModels, TheoreticalPopulation DynamicsAlgorithmsCommunicable DiseasesComputer SimulationHumansInternet

Identifiers

PMID26478209
PMCPMC4609962

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.