ArticleBMC medical research methodology2015
Using the scenario method in the context of health and health care--a scoping review.
Article in BMC medical research methodology, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
26 citing papers in PubMed, 52 citations in OpenAlex.
- Reliability of LLMs as medical assistants for the general public: a randomized preregistered study.Nature medicine · 2026Trial
- "No one talks about it, but everyone knows that it exists": a qualitative study of nursing students' perspectives on racism in healthcare in Norway.BMC nursing · 2026Article
- Integrating systems and implementation science in modeling and evaluating complex health interventions: methodological reflections from service delivery redesign in Kakamega, Kenya.Health policy and planning · 2026Article
- Systematic adolescent-centered supportive care program is associated with improved psychological status, treatment adherence, and social adaptation in adolescents with thyroid cancer undergoing radioiodine-131 therapy: a retrospective before-after cohort study with historical controls.Frontiers in endocrinology · 2026Article
- A case study integrating scenario thinking with dialysis policymaking in Thailand.Communications medicine · 2025Article
- Co-creating mental health promotion and prevention interventions with groups in vulnerable situations in Europe: a mixed-methods study protocol for co-creation implementation and participatory evaluation.Health research policy and systems · 2025Article
- Study Protocol for Applying Trend Impact Analysis in Health Futures Studies: A Methodological Approach Illustrated by HIV/AIDS Forecasting in Iran.Health science reports · 2025Article
- Practical insights for enhancing primary care rehabilitation services in low-resource contexts.African journal of primary health care & family medicine · 2025Article
- A Study Protocol for the Macro-analysis of Iran's Health System with System Dynamics Approach.Medical journal of the Islamic Republic of Iran · 2025Article
- Impact of health conditions on daily functioning in Kenyan populations: A scoping review.African journal of disability · 2025Review
- Future scenarios of palliative care in health system of Iran: a multi-method study.Frontiers in public health · 2024Article
- Future of myocardial infarction mortality in Iran: a scenario-based study.Journal of health, population, and nutrition · 2023Article
- The Importance of Uncertainty in Health Scenarios: A Scoping Review on COVID-19 Scenarios.Medical journal of the Islamic Republic of Iran · 2023Article
- Context-dependent representation of within- and between-model uncertainty: aggregating probabilistic predictions in infectious disease epidemiology.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2023Article
- Functioning Problems Associated with Health Conditions with Greatest Disease Burden in South Africa: A Scoping Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Drivers, uncertainties, and future scenarios of the Iranian health system.BMC health services research · 2022Article
- Beyond the COVID-19 crisis: A research note on post-pandemic scenarios for South Tyrol 2030.Technological forecasting and social change · 2022Article
- Participation in Low Back Pain Management: It Is Time for the To-Be Scenarios in Digital Public Health.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Progress towards achieving child survival goals in Kenya after devolution: Geospatial analysis with scenario-based projections, 2015-2025.PLOS global public health · 2022Article
- Using a scenario-based hybrid approach to understand participant health behavior.Research in social & administrative pharmacy : RSAP · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
3 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundThe scenario technique is a method for future research and for strategic planning. Today, it includes both qualitative and quantitative elements. The aims of this scoping review are to give an overview of the application of the scenario method in the fields of health care and to make suggestions for better reporting in future scenario projects.
methodsBetween January 2013 and October 2013 we conducted a systematic search in the databases Medline, Embase, PsycInfo, Eric, The Cochrane Library, Scopus, Web of Science, and Cinahl since inception for the term 'scenario(s)' in combination with other terms, e.g. method, model, and technique. Our search was not restricted by date or language. In addition, we screened the reference lists of the included articles.
resultsA total of 576 bibliographical records were screened. After removing duplicates and three rounds of screening, 41 articles covering 38 different scenario projects were included for the final analysis. Nine of the included articles addressed disease related issues, led by mental health and dementia (n = 4), and followed by cancer (n = 3). Five scenario projects focused on public health issues at an organizational level and five focused on the labor market for different health care professionals. In addition, four projects dealt with health care 'in general', four with the field of biotechnology and personalized medicine, and additional four with other technology developments. Some of the scenario projects suffered from poor reporting of methodological aspects.
conclusionsDespite its potential, use of the scenario method seems to be published rarely in comparison to other methods such as the Delphi-technique, at least in the field of health care. This might be due to the complexity of the methodological approach. Individual project methods and activities vary widely and are poorly reported. Improved criteria are required for reporting of scenario project methods. With improved standards and greater transparency, the scenario method will be a good tool for scientific health care planning and strategic decision-making in public health.
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What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.