Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26473895›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2015

Regional Projections of Extreme Apparent Temperature Days in Africa and the Related Potential Risk to Human Health.

Rebecca M Garland, Mamopeli Matooane, Francois A Engelbrecht, Mary-Jane M Bopape, Willem A Landman, Mogesh Naidoo, Jacobus van der Merwe, Caradee Y Wright

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed.

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  12. A Study Protocol to Determine Heat-Related Health Impacts among Primary Schoolchildren in South Africa.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020
    Article
  13. The Epidemiology of Skin Cancer and Public Health Strategies for Its Prevention in Southern Africa.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
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  18. Article
  19. Indoor Temperatures in Low Cost Housing in Johannesburg, South Africa.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2017
    Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Rebecca M GarlandNatural Resources and the Environment Unit, Council for Scientific and Industrial Research, Pretoria 0001, South Africa. RGarland@csir.co.za.
Mamopeli MatooaneNatural Resources and the Environment Unit, Council for Scientific and Industrial Research, Pretoria 0001, South Africa. matooanemr@yahoo.com.
Francois A EngelbrechtNatural Resources and the Environment Unit, Council for Scientific and Industrial Research, Pretoria 0001, South Africa. FEngelbrecht@csir.co.za.
Mary-Jane M BopapeNatural Resources and the Environment Unit, Council for Scientific and Industrial Research, Pretoria 0001, South Africa. m.m.bopape@reading.ac.uk.
Willem A LandmanNatural Resources and the Environment Unit, Council for Scientific and Industrial Research, Pretoria 0001, South Africa. WALandman@csir.co.za.
Mogesh NaidooNatural Resources and the Environment Unit, Council for Scientific and Industrial Research, Pretoria 0001, South Africa. MNaidoo4@csir.co.za.
Jacobus van der MerweNatural Resources and the Environment Unit, Council for Scientific and Industrial Research, Pretoria 0001, South Africa. JHvdMerwe@csir.co.za.
Caradee Y WrightNatural Resources and the Environment Unit, Council for Scientific and Industrial Research, Pretoria 0001, South Africa. cwright@mrc.ac.za.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Regional climate modelling was used to produce high resolution climate projections for Africa, under a "business as usual scenario", that were translated into potential health impacts utilizing a heat index that relates apparent temperature to health impacts. The continent is projected to see increases in the number of days when health may be adversely affected by increasing maximum apparent temperatures (AT) due to climate change. Additionally, climate projections indicate that the increases in AT results in a moving of days from the less severe to the more severe Symptom Bands. The analysis of the rate of increasing temperatures assisted in identifying areas, such as the East African highlands, where health may be at increasing risk due to both large increases in the absolute number of hot days, and due to the high rate of increase. The projections described here can be used by health stakeholders in Africa to assist in the development of appropriate public health interventions to mitigate the potential health impacts from climate change.

Indexed as

Climate ChangePublic HealthAfricaForecastingHot TemperatureHumansRiskAfricaclimate changeclimate serviceshuman healthregional climate modelling

Identifiers

PMID26473895
PMCPMC4626987

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.