Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26450633›Full record

ArticleDisaster medicine and public health preparedness2015

Assessing the Capacity of the US Health Care System to Use Additional Mechanical Ventilators During a Large-Scale Public Health Emergency.

Adebola Ajao, Scott V Nystrom, Lisa M Koonin, Anita Patel, David R Howell, Prasith Baccam, Tim Lant, Eileen Malatino, Margaret Chamberlin, Martin I Meltzer

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Disaster medicine and public health preparedness, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.5field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 50 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. COVID-19 pandemic: lessons learned from more than a century of pandemics and current vaccine development for pandemic control.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2021
    Review
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Review
  9. Echocardiography in Pandemic: Front-Line Perspective, Expanding Role of Ultrasound, and Ethics of Resource Allocation.Journal of the American Society of Echocardiography : official publication of the American Society of Echocardiography · 2020
    Review
  10. Lockdown During COVID-19: The Greek Success.In vivo (Athens, Greece) · 2020
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Stockpiling Ventilators for Influenza Pandemics.Emerging infectious diseases · 2017
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Adebola Ajao1Food and Drug Administration,Silver Spring,Maryland.
Scott V Nystrom2Department of Health and Human Services,Assistant Secretary for Preparedness and Response,Washington,DC.
Lisa M Koonin3Centers for Disease Control and Prevention,Atlanta,Georgia.
Anita Patel3Centers for Disease Control and Prevention,Atlanta,Georgia.
David R Howell2Department of Health and Human Services,Assistant Secretary for Preparedness and Response,Washington,DC.
Prasith Baccam4IEM Inc,Morrisville,North Carolina.
Tim Lant2Department of Health and Human Services,Assistant Secretary for Preparedness and Response,Washington,DC.
Eileen Malatino3Centers for Disease Control and Prevention,Atlanta,Georgia.
Margaret Chamberlin5Pardee Rand Graduate School,Santa Monica,California.
Martin I Meltzer3Centers for Disease Control and Prevention,Atlanta,Georgia.
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention · USOffice of Readiness and Response · US

Funding

Intramural CDC HHS CC999999
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveA large-scale public health emergency, such as a severe influenza pandemic, can generate large numbers of critically ill patients in a short time. We modeled the number of mechanical ventilators that could be used in addition to the number of hospital-based ventilators currently in use.

methodsWe identified key components of the health care system needed to deliver ventilation therapy, quantified the maximum number of additional ventilators that each key component could support at various capacity levels (ie, conventional, contingency, and crisis), and determined the constraining key component at each capacity level.

resultsOur study results showed that US hospitals could absorb between 26,200 and 56,300 additional ventilators at the peak of a national influenza pandemic outbreak with robust pre-pandemic planning.

conclusionsThe current US health care system may have limited capacity to use additional mechanical ventilators during a large-scale public health emergency. Emergency planners need to understand their health care systems' capability to absorb additional resources and expand care. This methodology could be adapted by emergency planners to determine stockpiling goals for critical resources or to identify alternatives to manage overwhelming critical care need.

Indexed as

Delivery of Health CareDisaster PlanningHealth ResourcesHumansMass Casualty IncidentsPublic HealthSurge CapacityVentilators, Mechanicalmechanical ventilatorsmodelpandemicpublic health emergencysurge capacity

Identifiers

PMID26450633
PMCPMC4636910
OpenAlexW1948035048

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.