Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26448795›Full record

ArticleApplied clinical informatics2015

Machine Learning Techniques for Prediction of Early Childhood Obesity.

T M Dugan, S Mukhopadhyay, A Carroll, S Downs

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Applied clinical informatics, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 68 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
68citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

68 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  8. Review
  9. Artificial Intelligence in Obesity Prevention.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025
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8 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

T M DuganIndiana University , Children's Health Services Research, Indianapolis, IN, United States ; Indiana University Purdue University Indianapolis , Computer Science, Indianapolis, IN, United States.
S MukhopadhyayIndiana University Purdue University Indianapolis , Computer Science, Indianapolis, IN, United States.
A CarrollIndiana University , Children's Health Services Research, Indianapolis, IN, United States.
S DownsIndiana University , Children's Health Services Research, Indianapolis, IN, United States.

Funding

Computer Assisted Autism Care (CAAC)R01HS018453 · AHRQ · INDIANA UNIVERSITY INDIANAPOLIS · PI DOWNS, STEPHEN M. · 2009 to 2012
$1.9M
Computer-Supported Management of Medical-Legal Issues Impacting Child HealthR01HS020640 · AHRQ · INDIANA UNIVERSITY INDIANAPOLIS · PI GILBERT, AMY LEWIS · 2012 to 2014
$1.5M
Delivering Geospatial Intelligence to Health Care ProfessionalsR01LM010923 · NLM · INDIANA UNIVERSITY INDIANAPOLIS · PI DOWNS, STEPHEN M. · 2011 to 2013
$1.0M
Computer Decision Aid for ADHD Management (CDAAM)R01LM010031 · NLM · INDIANA UNIVERSITY INDIANAPOLIS · PI CARROLL, AARON E. · 2009 to 2010
$1.0M
Computer Automated Developmental Surveillance and Screening (CADSS)R01HS017939 · AHRQ · INDIANA UNIVERSITY INDIANAPOLIS · PI CARROLL, AARON E. · 2009 to 2011
$899k
AHRQ HHS 1R01HS018453-01AHRQ HHS 1R01HS020640-01A1AHRQ HHS R01 HS017939AHRQ HHS R01 HS018453AHRQ HHS R01 HS020640NLM NIH HHS R01 LM010031NLM NIH HHS R01 LM010031ZNLM NIH HHS R01 LM010923NLM NIH HHS R01LM010923
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesThis paper aims to predict childhood obesity after age two, using only data collected prior to the second birthday by a clinical decision support system called CHICA.

methodsAnalyses of six different machine learning methods: RandomTree, RandomForest, J48, ID3, Naïve Bayes, and Bayes trained on CHICA data show that an accurate, sensitive model can be created.

resultsOf the methods analyzed, the ID3 model trained on the CHICA dataset proved the best overall performance with accuracy of 85% and sensitivity of 89%. Additionally, the ID3 model had a positive predictive value of 84% and a negative predictive value of 88%. The structure of the tree also gives insight into the strongest predictors of future obesity in children. Many of the strongest predictors seen in the ID3 modeling of the CHICA dataset have been independently validated in the literature as correlated with obesity, thereby supporting the validity of the model.

conclusionsThis study demonstrated that data from a production clinical decision support system can be used to build an accurate machine learning model to predict obesity in children after age two.

Indexed as

Machine LearningChildDatabases, FactualDecision TreesFemaleHumansMaleMedical InformaticsPediatric Obesityartificial intelligenceBayes theoremdecision treesObesitypredictive analytics

Identifiers

PMID26448795
PMCPMC4586339

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.