Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26446536›Full record

ArticleBMC psychiatry2015

Triage, decision-making and follow-up of patients referred to a UK forensic service: validation of the DUNDRUM toolkit.

Mark Freestone, Deborah Bull, Roz Brown, Neil Boast, Faye Blazey, Paul Gilluley

Registry-linked trialAbstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMC psychiatry, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT05074732 (Dundrum Forensic Redevelopment Evaluation Study), which is not on this map. Cited by 15 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT05074732 recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2019, after this paper: background citation

Dundrum Forensic Redevelopment Evaluation Study: D-FOREST Study.

TypeobservationalSponsorHealth Service Executive, IrelandRan2019 to 2027Enrolled350ConditionsSchizophrenia, Forensic Psychiatry, Outcome Measure, Violence
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Examining the need for a high level of therapeutic security at a regional forensic mental health service in Aotearoa New Zealand.Psychiatry, psychology, and law : an interdisciplinary journal of the Australian and New Zealand Association of Psychiatry, Psychology and Law · 2024
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Observational
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Mark FreestoneViolence Prevention Research Unit, Centre for Psychiatry, Wolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine, Barts and The London School of Medicine and Dentistry, Queen Mary, University of London, Garrod Building, London, E1 2AD, UK. m.c.freestone@qmul.ac.uk.
Deborah BullEast London NHS Foundation Trust, John Howard Centre, London, E9 5TD, UK. debbie.bull@elft.nhs.uk.
Roz BrownEast London NHS Foundation Trust, John Howard Centre, London, E9 5TD, UK. rosslyn.brown@elft.nhs.uk.
Neil BoastEast London NHS Foundation Trust, John Howard Centre, London, E9 5TD, UK. neilboast@blueyonder.co.uk.
Faye BlazeyInstitute of Psychiatry, King's College, London, UK. faye.blazey@kcl.ac.uk.
Paul GilluleyEast London NHS Foundation Trust, John Howard Centre, London, E9 5TD, UK. paul.gilluley@elft.nhs.uk.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundForensic medium secure services in the UK are a scarce but essential resource providing care for those in the criminal justice system with severe mental disorder. Appropriate allocation of beds to those most in need is essential to ensure efficient use of this resource. To improve decision-making processes in a UK forensic service, an admissions panel utilized the DUNDRUM 1&2 (D1 & D2) triage instruments.

methodsDemographic, diagnostic and clinical information on a prospective sample of referrals to a UK adult forensic service was gathered (n = 195). D1 and D2 measures were scored by a panel of clinical managers considering referral information and clinician opinion in reaching their ratings; those not admitted were also followed up.

resultsWithin the sample, D1 ratings were predictive of decisions to admit (AUC = .79) and also differentiated between levels of security (F(4) = 16.54, p < .001). Non-admission was not significantly associated with increased risk of offending at follow-up. Items relating to self-harm and institutional behaviour did not show a predictive relationship with the panel decision to admit.

conclusionsUse of a structured professional judgement tool showing good predictive validity has improved transparency of decisions and appears to be associated with more efficient use of resources, without increased risk to the public.

Indexed as

AdultClinical Decision-MakingCriminalsDecision Support TechniquesFemaleFollow-Up StudiesForensic PsychiatryHospitals, PsychiatricHumansLondonMaleMental DisordersMiddle AgedProspective StudiesReferral and ConsultationRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID26446536
PMCPMC4597384

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.