Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26441004›Full record

ArticleSchizophrenia research2015

Severity of thought disorder predicts psychosis in persons at clinical high-risk.

Diana O Perkins, Clark D Jeffries, Barbara A Cornblatt, Scott W Woods, Jean Addington, Carrie E Bearden, Kristin S Cadenhead, Tyrone D Cannon, Robert Heinssen, Daniel H Mathalon and 4 more

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Schizophrenia research, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.4field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 56 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors at 11 institutions in 2 countries.

Diana O PerkinsDepartment of Psychiatry, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, United States. Electronic address: Diana_Perkins@unc.edu.
Clark D JeffriesRenaissance Computing Institute, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC, United States.
Barbara A CornblattDepartment of Psychiatry, Zucker Hillside Hospital, Long Island, NY, United States.
Scott W WoodsDepartment of Psychiatry, Yale University, New Haven, CT, United States.
Jean AddingtonHotchkiss Brain Institute, Department of Psychiatry, University of Calgary, Alberta, Canada.
Carrie E BeardenDepartment of Psychiatry and Biobehavioral Sciences, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA, United States; Department of Psychology, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA, United States.
Kristin S CadenheadDepartment of Psychiatry, UCSD, San Diego, CA, United States.
Tyrone D CannonDepartment of Psychiatry, Yale University, New Haven, CT, United States; Department of Psychology, Yale University, New Haven, CT, United States.
Robert HeinssenNational Institute of Mental Health, United States.
Daniel H MathalonDepartment of Psychiatry, UCSF, San Francisco, CA, United States.
Larry J SeidmanDepartment of Psychiatry, Harvard Medical School at Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, MA, United States; Department of Psychiatry, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, United States.
Ming T TsuangDepartment of Psychiatry, UCSD, San Diego, CA, United States.
Elaine F WalkerDepartment of Psychology, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, United States; Department of Psychiatry, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, United States.
Thomas H McGlashanDepartment of Psychiatry, Yale University, New Haven, CT, United States.
Yale University · USUniversity of California San Diego · USBeth Israel Deaconess Medical Center · USEmory University · USNational Institute of Mental Health · USNeurobehavioral Systems · USRenaissance Computing Institute · USUniversity of Calgary · CAUniversity of California, San Francisco · USUniversity of North Carolina at Chapel Hill · USZucker Hillside Hospital · US

Funding

STRESS AND EMOTIONAL REACTIVITYP50MH066286 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI NUECHTERLEIN, KEITH H · 2003 to 2014
$18.6M
1/9 Predictors and Mechanisms of Conversion to PsychosisU01MH081902 · NIMH · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI CANNON, TYRONE D · 2008 to 2018
$12.4M
5/9 Predictors and Mechanisms of Conversion to PsychosisU01MH082004 · NIMH · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI PERKINS, DIANA O. · 2008 to 2018
$7.5M
Administrative Supplement Harmonization of At Risk Multisite Observational Networks for Youth(HARMONY)U01MH081928 · NIMH · BETH ISRAEL DEACONESS MEDICAL CENTER · PI STONE, WILLIAM SETH · 2008 to 2018
$7.1M
4/9-Predictors and Mechanisms of Conversion to PsychosisU01MH081857 · NIMH · FEINSTEIN INSTITUTE FOR MEDICAL RESEARCH · PI CORNBLATT, BARBARA A. · 2008 to 2018
$6.2M
8/9 Predictors and Mechanisms of Conversion to PsychosisU01MH082022 · NIMH · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI WOODS, SCOTT W · 2008 to 2018
$6.0M
2/9 - Predictors and Mechanisms of Conversion to PsychosisU01MH081988 · NIMH · EMORY UNIVERSITY · PI WALKER, ELAINE FRAN · 2008 to 2018
$5.4M
6/9-Predictors and Mechanisms of Conversion to PsychosisU01MH081944 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI CADENHEAD, KRISTIN S. · 2008 to 2018
$4.9M
"7/9" Predictors and Mechanisms of Conversion to PsychosisU01MH081984 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF CALGARY · PI ADDINGTON, JEAN M · 2008 to 2018
$4.2M
9/9-Predictors and Mechanisms of Conversion to PsychosisU01MH076989 · NIMH · NORTHERN CALIFORNIA INSTITUTE/RES/EDU · PI MATHALON, DANIEL H · 2014 to 2018
$3.9M
Functional Brain Abnormalities in the Schizophrenia ProdromeR01MH076989 · NIMH · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI MATHALON, DANIEL H · 2007 to 2014
$2.3M
Enhancing the Prospective Prediction of PsychosisU01MH066069 · NIMH · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI PERKINS, DIANA O. · 2003 to 2007
$1.5M
NIMH NIH HHS K23 MH001905NIMH NIH HHS MH076989NIMH NIH HHS P50 MH066286NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH076989NIMH NIH HHS R01 U01 MH066069NIMH NIH HHS U01 MH066069NIMH NIH HHS U01 MH066134NIMH NIH HHS U01 MH076989NIMH NIH HHS U01 MH081857NIMH NIH HHS U01 MH081902NIMH NIH HHS U01 MH081928NIMH NIH HHS U01 MH081944NIMH NIH HHS U01 MH081984NIMH NIH HHS U01 MH081988NIMH NIH HHS U01 MH082004NIMH NIH HHS U01 MH082022NIMH NIH HHS U01 MH82022
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundImproving predictive accuracy is of paramount importance for early detection and prevention of psychosis. We sought a symptom severity classifier that would improve psychosis risk prediction.

methodsSubjects were from two cohorts of the North American Prodrome Longitudinal Study. All subjects met Criteria of Psychosis-Risk States. In Cohort-1 (n=296) we developed a classifier that included those items of the Scale of Psychosis-Risk Symptoms that best distinguished subjects who converted to psychosis from nonconverters, with performance initially validated by randomization tests in Cohort-1. Cohort-2 (n=592) served as an independent test set.

resultsWe derived 2-Item and 4-Item subscales. Both included unusual thought content and suspiciousness; the latter added reduced ideational richness and difficulties with focus/concentration. The Concordance Index (C-Index), a measure of discrimination, was similar for each subscale across cohorts (4-Item subscale Cohort-2: 0.71, 95% CI=[0.64, 0.77], Cohort-1: 0.74, 95% CI=[0.69, 0.80]; 2-Item subscale Cohort-2: 0.68, 95% CI=[0.3, 0.76], Cohort-1: 0.72, 95% CI=[0.66-0.79]). The 4-Item performed better than the 2-Item subscale in 742/1000 random selections of 80% subsets of Cohort-2 subjects (p-value=1.3E-55). Subscale calibration between cohorts was proportional (higher scores/lower survival), but absolute conversion risk predicted from Cohort-1 was higher than that observed in Cohort-2, reflecting the cohorts' differences in 2-year conversion rates (Cohort-2: 0.16, 95% CI=[0.13, 0.19]; Cohort-1: 0.30, 95% CI=[0.24, 0.36]).

conclusionSeverity of unusual thought content, suspiciousness, reduced ideational richness, and difficulty with focus/concentration informed psychosis risk prediction. Scales based on these symptoms may have utility in research and, assuming further validation, eventual clinical applications.

Indexed as

AdolescentCognition DisordersCohort StudiesFemaleHumansMaleNeuropsychological TestsPsychiatric Status Rating ScalesPsychotic DisordersReproducibility of ResultsRisk FactorsROC CurveSurvival AnalysisThinkingYoung AdultHigh-riskPsychosisRisk predictionSchizophreniaSurvivalSymptom severity

Identifiers

PMID26441004
PMCPMC4681584
OpenAlexW2190387538

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.