Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26439685›Full record

ArticleStatistics in medicine2016

Prediction of coronary artery disease risk based on multiple longitudinal biomarkers.

Lili Yang, Menggang Yu, Sujuan Gao

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Statistics in medicine, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Observational
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
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  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Dynamics of biomarkers in relation to aging and mortality.Mechanisms of ageing and development · 2016
    Review
  15. Joint Models for Multiple Longitudinal Processes and Time-to-event Outcome.Journal of statistical computation and simulation · 2016
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Lili YangEli Lilly and Company, Indianapolis, IN, 46285, U.S.A.
Menggang YuDepartment of Biostatistics and Medical Informatics, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Population Health, Madison, Wisconsin.
Sujuan GaoDepartment of Biostatistics, Indiana University School of Medicine, 410 W. 10th Street Suite 3000, Indianapolis, IN, 46202-3002, U.S.A.

Funding

Research Education ComponentP30AG010133 · NIA · INDIANA UNIV-PURDUE UNIV AT INDIANAPOLIS · PI FOROUD, TATIANA M. · 1991 to 2020
$37.3M
Indiana Clinical and Translational Sciences InstituteUL1TR001108 · NCATS · INDIANA UNIVERSITY INDIANAPOLIS · PI DENNE, SCOTT C., SHEKHAR, ANANTHA · 2013 to 2017
$23.3M
Selenium, other risk factors and cognitive decline in rural elderly ChineseR01AG019181 · NIA · INDIANA UNIV-PURDUE UNIV AT INDIANAPOLIS · PI GAO, SUJUAN · 2003 to 2014
$4.1M
Indianapolis Interventions and Practice Research Infrastructure ProgramR24MH080827 · NIMH · INDIANA UNIVERSITY INDIANAPOLIS · PI CALLAHAN, CHRISTOPHER M · 2008 to 2012
$3.1M
Longitudinal interactive vascular exposure and Alzheimer's DiseaseR01AG045350 · NIA · INDIANA UNIVERSITY INDIANAPOLIS · PI GAO, SUJUAN · 2014 to 2016
$925k
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001108NIA NIH HHS P30 AG010133NIA NIH HHS P30 AG10133NIA NIH HHS R01 AG019181NIA NIH HHS R01 AG045350NIMH NIH HHS R24 MH080827
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In the last decade, few topics in the area of cardiovascular disease (CVD) research have received as much attention as risk prediction. One of the well-documented risk factors for CVD is high blood pressure (BP). Traditional CVD risk prediction models consider BP levels measured at a single time and such models form the basis for current clinical guidelines for CVD prevention. However, in clinical practice, BP levels are often observed and recorded in a longitudinal fashion. Information on BP trajectories can be powerful predictors for CVD events. We consider joint modeling of time to coronary artery disease and individual longitudinal measures of systolic and diastolic BPs in a primary care cohort with up to 20 years of follow-up. We applied novel prediction metrics to assess the predictive performance of joint models. Predictive performances of proposed joint models and other models were assessed via simulations and illustrated using the primary care cohort.

Indexed as

AgedBayes TheoremBiomarkersBiostatisticsBlood PressureCohort StudiesComputer SimulationCoronary Artery DiseaseHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedModels, StatisticalMonte Carlo MethodPredictive Value of TestsPrimary Health CareBiomarkersAARDAUCjoint modelsMRDmultiple longitudinal outcomespredictiontime-to-event outcome

Identifiers

PMID26439685
PMCPMC5024352

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.