Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26418737›Full record

ArticlePLoS medicine2015

Evolution of Extensively Drug-Resistant Tuberculosis over Four Decades: Whole Genome Sequencing and Dating Analysis of Mycobacterium tuberculosis Isolates from KwaZulu-Natal.

Keira A Cohen, Thomas Abeel, Abigail Manson McGuire, Christopher A Desjardins, Vanisha Munsamy, Terrance P Shea, Bruce J Walker, Nonkqubela Bantubani, Deepak V Almeida, Lucia Alvarado and 23 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS medicine, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 166 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
166citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
20.4field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

166 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 297 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. ClinicalFrontiers in microbiology · 2025
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  15. Loss of theScience advances · 2025
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  16. The Case for Genomic Surveillance in Africa.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2025
    Review
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106 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

33 authors at 8 institutions in 3 countries.

Keira A CohenDivision of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America; KwaZulu-Natal Research Institute for TB and HIV (K-RITH), Durban, South Africa.
Thomas AbeelBroad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, Massachusetts, United States of America; Delft Bioinformatics Lab, Delft University of Technology, Delft, The Netherlands.
Abigail Manson McGuireBroad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, Massachusetts, United States of America.
Christopher A DesjardinsBroad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, Massachusetts, United States of America.
Vanisha MunsamyKwaZulu-Natal Research Institute for TB and HIV (K-RITH), Durban, South Africa.
Terrance P SheaBroad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, Massachusetts, United States of America.
Bruce J WalkerBroad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, Massachusetts, United States of America.
Nonkqubela BantubaniMedical Research Council, Durban, South Africa.
Deepak V AlmeidaKwaZulu-Natal Research Institute for TB and HIV (K-RITH), Durban, South Africa; Center for Tuberculosis Research, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America.
Lucia AlvaradoBroad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, Massachusetts, United States of America.
Sinéad B ChapmanBroad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, Massachusetts, United States of America.
Nomonde R MvelaseSchool of Laboratory Medicine and Medical Sciences, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa; National Health Laboratory Service, Durban, South Africa.
Eamon Y DuffyKwaZulu-Natal Research Institute for TB and HIV (K-RITH), Durban, South Africa.
Michael G FitzgeraldBroad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, Massachusetts, United States of America.
Pamla GovenderKwaZulu-Natal Research Institute for TB and HIV (K-RITH), Durban, South Africa.
Sharvari GujjaBroad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, Massachusetts, United States of America.
Susanna HamiltonBroad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, Massachusetts, United States of America.
Clinton HowarthBroad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, Massachusetts, United States of America.
Jeffrey D LarimerBroad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, Massachusetts, United States of America.
Kashmeel MaharajKwaZulu-Natal Research Institute for TB and HIV (K-RITH), Durban, South Africa.
Matthew D PearsonBroad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, Massachusetts, United States of America.
Margaret E PriestBroad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, Massachusetts, United States of America.
Qiandong ZengBroad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, Massachusetts, United States of America.
Nesri PadayatchiCentre for the AIDS Programme of Research in South Africa (CAPRISA), Durban, South Africa.
Jacques GrossetKwaZulu-Natal Research Institute for TB and HIV (K-RITH), Durban, South Africa; Center for Tuberculosis Research, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America.
Sarah K YoungBroad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, Massachusetts, United States of America.
Jennifer WortmanBroad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, Massachusetts, United States of America.
Koleka P MlisanaSchool of Laboratory Medicine and Medical Sciences, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa; National Health Laboratory Service, Durban, South Africa.
Max R O'DonnellCentre for the AIDS Programme of Research in South Africa (CAPRISA), Durban, South Africa; Division of Pulmonary, Allergy, and Critical Care Medicine, Columbia University College of Physicians and Surgeons, New York, United States of America; Department of Epidemiology, Columbia Mailman School of Public Health, New York, United States of America.
Bruce W BirrenBroad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, Massachusetts, United States of America.
William R BishaiCenter for Tuberculosis Research, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America.
Alexander S PymKwaZulu-Natal Research Institute for TB and HIV (K-RITH), Durban, South Africa.
Ashlee M EarlBroad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, Massachusetts, United States of America.
Broad Institute · USJohns Hopkins University · USCentre for the AIDS Programme of Research in South Africa · ZADelft University of Technology · NLHarvard University · USNational Health Laboratory Service · ZASouth African Medical Research Council · ZAUniversity of KwaZulu-Natal · ZA

Funding

Viral Genomics: evolution, spread, and host interactionsU19AI110818 · NIAID · BROAD INSTITUTE, INC. · PI NEAFSEY, DANIEL E · 2014 to 2024
$66.5M
The Viral Set Point in HIV-1 Subtype C InfectionU19AI051794 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF KWAZULU-NATAL · PI ABDOOL KARIM, SALIM S · 2002 to 2007
$22.5M
RESPIRATORY RESEARCHT32HL007633 · NHLBI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI George R Washko · 1985 to 2026
$14.9M
Biomarker for XDR-TB Treatment Response and Drug Resistance in HIV Endemic AreaK23AI098479 · NIAID · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI O'DONNELL, MAX · 2012 to 2016
$669k
NHLBI NIH HHS T32 HL007633NHLBI NIH HHS T32HL007633NIAID NIH HHS HHSN272200900018CNIAID NIH HHS K23 AI098479NIAID NIH HHS K23 AI098479-01A1NIAID NIH HHS U19 AI051794NIAID NIH HHS U19 AI110818NIAID NIH HHS U19AI110818NIAID NIH HHS U19 AI51794
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe continued advance of antibiotic resistance threatens the treatment and control of many infectious diseases. This is exemplified by the largest global outbreak of extensively drug-resistant (XDR) tuberculosis (TB) identified in Tugela Ferry, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa, in 2005 that continues today. It is unclear whether the emergence of XDR-TB in KwaZulu-Natal was due to recent inadequacies in TB control in conjunction with HIV or other factors. Understanding the origins of drug resistance in this fatal outbreak of XDR will inform the control and prevention of drug-resistant TB in other settings. In this study, we used whole genome sequencing and dating analysis to determine if XDR-TB had emerged recently or had ancient antecedents. METHODS AND

findingsWe performed whole genome sequencing and drug susceptibility testing on 337 clinical isolates of Mycobacterium tuberculosis collected in KwaZulu-Natal from 2008 to 2013, in addition to three historical isolates, collected from patients in the same province and including an isolate from the 2005 Tugela Ferry XDR outbreak, a multidrug-resistant (MDR) isolate from 1994, and a pansusceptible isolate from 1995. We utilized an array of whole genome comparative techniques to assess the relatedness among strains, to establish the order of acquisition of drug resistance mutations, including the timing of acquisitions leading to XDR-TB in the LAM4 spoligotype, and to calculate the number of independent evolutionary emergences of MDR and XDR. Our sequencing and analysis revealed a 50-member clone of XDR M. tuberculosis that was highly related to the Tugela Ferry XDR outbreak strain. We estimated that mutations conferring isoniazid and streptomycin resistance in this clone were acquired 50 y prior to the Tugela Ferry outbreak (katG S315T [isoniazid]; gidB 130 bp deletion [streptomycin]; 1957 [95% highest posterior density (HPD): 1937-1971]), with the subsequent emergence of MDR and XDR occurring 20 y (rpoB L452P [rifampicin]; pncA 1 bp insertion [pyrazinamide]; 1984 [95% HPD: 1974-1992]) and 10 y (rpoB D435G [rifampicin]; rrs 1400 [kanamycin]; gyrA A90V [ofloxacin]; 1995 [95% HPD: 1988-1999]) prior to the outbreak, respectively. We observed frequent de novo evolution of MDR and XDR, with 56 and nine independent evolutionary events, respectively. Isoniazid resistance evolved before rifampicin resistance 46 times, whereas rifampicin resistance evolved prior to isoniazid only twice. We identified additional putative compensatory mutations to rifampicin in this dataset. One major limitation of this study is that the conclusions with respect to ordering and timing of acquisition of mutations may not represent universal patterns of drug resistance emergence in other areas of the globe.

conclusionsIn the first whole genome-based analysis of the emergence of drug resistance among clinical isolates of M. tuberculosis, we show that the ancestral precursor of the LAM4 XDR outbreak strain in Tugela Ferry gained mutations to first-line drugs at the beginning of the antibiotic era. Subsequent accumulation of stepwise resistance mutations, occurring over decades and prior to the explosion of HIV in this region, yielded MDR and XDR, permitting the emergence of compensatory mutations. Our results suggest that drug-resistant strains circulating today reflect not only vulnerabilities of current TB control efforts but also those that date back 50 y. In drug-resistant TB, isoniazid resistance was overwhelmingly the initial resistance mutation to be acquired, which would not be detected by current rapid molecular diagnostics employed in South Africa that assess only rifampicin resistance.

Indexed as

Genome, BacterialAdultAntitubercular AgentsDisease OutbreaksExtensively Drug-Resistant TuberculosisFemaleHumansMaleMicrobial Sensitivity TestsMutationMycobacterium tuberculosisSequence Analysis, DNASouth AfricaAntitubercular Agents

Identifiers

PMID26418737
PMCPMC4587932
OpenAlexW2124249157

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.