ArticlePLoS medicine2015
Evolution of Extensively Drug-Resistant Tuberculosis over Four Decades: Whole Genome Sequencing and Dating Analysis of Mycobacterium tuberculosis Isolates from KwaZulu-Natal.
Article in PLoS medicine, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 166 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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Who cites it
166 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 297 citations in OpenAlex.
- ClinicalFrontiers in microbiology · 2025Pooled it
- Reporting practices for genomic epidemiology of tuberculosis: a systematic review of the literature using STROME-ID guidelines as a benchmark.The Lancet. Microbe · 2021Pooled it
- Molecular epidemiology of drug resistant Mycobacterium tuberculosis in Africa: a systematic review.BMC infectious diseases · 2020Pooled it
- Assessing whether isoniazid is essential during the first 14 days of tuberculosis therapy: a phase 2a, open-label, randomised controlled trial.The Lancet. Microbe · 2020Trial
- Within-host pathogen population diversity predicts treatment response in Tuberculosis.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2026Article
- Assessing fluoroquinolone resistance in Mycobacterium tuberculosis using nanopore sequencing: concordance with established diagnostic methods.Infection · 2026Article
- Long-term spatiotemporal evolution of drug-resistant Mycobacterium tuberculosis in China.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Molecular epidemiology of drug resistance and transmission ofMicrobiology spectrum · 2026Article
- Rates and risk factors of monoresistance against isoniazid and multidrug-resistant tuberculosis in Almaty, Kazakhstan.BMC infectious diseases · 2026Article
- From clinical phenotypes to genomic signatures: machine learning integration for precision tuberculosis treatment prediction.Frontiers in bioinformatics · 2026Article
- Mixed-strain infection and heteroresistance in drug-resistant tuberculosis: insights from a whole-genome sequencing pilot.Frontiers in epidemiology · 2026Article
- Genomic Surveillance of 3R Genes Associated with Antibiotic Resistance inAntibiotics (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
- Unraveling Epistatic Interactions Between Sites Under Drug-Dependent Selection in the Mycobacterium tuberculosis Genome.Molecular biology and evolution · 2025Article
- Molecular Epidemiology of Mycobacterium tuberculosis Across 3 Distinct Geographic Sites in South Africa.The Journal of infectious diseases · 2025Article
- Loss of theScience advances · 2025Article
- The Case for Genomic Surveillance in Africa.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2025Review
- Multi-drug resistance and compensatory mutations in Mycobacterium tuberculosis in Vietnam.Tropical medicine & international health : TM & IH · 2025Article
- Molecular typing of Mycobacterium tuberculosis: a review of current methods, databases, softwares, and analytical tools.FEMS microbiology reviews · 2025Review
- Empowering tuberculosis genomic surveillance in Limpopo, South Africa through capacity building.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Drug selection based on pan-genomics genetic features ofFrontiers in microbiology · 2025Article
106 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
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33 authors at 8 institutions in 3 countries.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundThe continued advance of antibiotic resistance threatens the treatment and control of many infectious diseases. This is exemplified by the largest global outbreak of extensively drug-resistant (XDR) tuberculosis (TB) identified in Tugela Ferry, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa, in 2005 that continues today. It is unclear whether the emergence of XDR-TB in KwaZulu-Natal was due to recent inadequacies in TB control in conjunction with HIV or other factors. Understanding the origins of drug resistance in this fatal outbreak of XDR will inform the control and prevention of drug-resistant TB in other settings. In this study, we used whole genome sequencing and dating analysis to determine if XDR-TB had emerged recently or had ancient antecedents. METHODS AND
findingsWe performed whole genome sequencing and drug susceptibility testing on 337 clinical isolates of Mycobacterium tuberculosis collected in KwaZulu-Natal from 2008 to 2013, in addition to three historical isolates, collected from patients in the same province and including an isolate from the 2005 Tugela Ferry XDR outbreak, a multidrug-resistant (MDR) isolate from 1994, and a pansusceptible isolate from 1995. We utilized an array of whole genome comparative techniques to assess the relatedness among strains, to establish the order of acquisition of drug resistance mutations, including the timing of acquisitions leading to XDR-TB in the LAM4 spoligotype, and to calculate the number of independent evolutionary emergences of MDR and XDR. Our sequencing and analysis revealed a 50-member clone of XDR M. tuberculosis that was highly related to the Tugela Ferry XDR outbreak strain. We estimated that mutations conferring isoniazid and streptomycin resistance in this clone were acquired 50 y prior to the Tugela Ferry outbreak (katG S315T [isoniazid]; gidB 130 bp deletion [streptomycin]; 1957 [95% highest posterior density (HPD): 1937-1971]), with the subsequent emergence of MDR and XDR occurring 20 y (rpoB L452P [rifampicin]; pncA 1 bp insertion [pyrazinamide]; 1984 [95% HPD: 1974-1992]) and 10 y (rpoB D435G [rifampicin]; rrs 1400 [kanamycin]; gyrA A90V [ofloxacin]; 1995 [95% HPD: 1988-1999]) prior to the outbreak, respectively. We observed frequent de novo evolution of MDR and XDR, with 56 and nine independent evolutionary events, respectively. Isoniazid resistance evolved before rifampicin resistance 46 times, whereas rifampicin resistance evolved prior to isoniazid only twice. We identified additional putative compensatory mutations to rifampicin in this dataset. One major limitation of this study is that the conclusions with respect to ordering and timing of acquisition of mutations may not represent universal patterns of drug resistance emergence in other areas of the globe.
conclusionsIn the first whole genome-based analysis of the emergence of drug resistance among clinical isolates of M. tuberculosis, we show that the ancestral precursor of the LAM4 XDR outbreak strain in Tugela Ferry gained mutations to first-line drugs at the beginning of the antibiotic era. Subsequent accumulation of stepwise resistance mutations, occurring over decades and prior to the explosion of HIV in this region, yielded MDR and XDR, permitting the emergence of compensatory mutations. Our results suggest that drug-resistant strains circulating today reflect not only vulnerabilities of current TB control efforts but also those that date back 50 y. In drug-resistant TB, isoniazid resistance was overwhelmingly the initial resistance mutation to be acquired, which would not be detected by current rapid molecular diagnostics employed in South Africa that assess only rifampicin resistance.
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