ArticleThe American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene2015
Predictive Malaria Risk and Uncertainty Mapping in Nchelenge District, Zambia: Evidence of Widespread, Persistent Risk and Implications for Targeted Interventions.
Article in The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
23 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Spatial and spatio-temporal methods for mapping malaria risk: a systematic review.BMJ global health · 2020Pooled it
- Trial
- Artemisinin-based combination therapy in pregnant women in Zambia: efficacy, safety and risk of recurrent malaria.Malaria journal · 2017Trial
- Leveraging spatial structure to design spatially-targeted malaria interventions at the community-scale.PLoS computational biology · 2026Article
- Article
- Identifying individual, household and environmental risk factors for malaria infection on Bioko Island to inform interventions.Malaria journal · 2023Article
- Malaria in Refugee Children Resettled to a Holoendemic Area of Sub-Saharan Africa.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2023Article
- Characterizing human movement patterns using GPS data loggers in an area of persistent malaria in Zimbabwe along the Mozambique border.BMC infectious diseases · 2022Article
- Investigating differences in village-level heterogeneity of malaria infection and household risk factors in Papua New Guinea.Scientific reports · 2021Article
- Near-term climate change impacts on sub-national malaria transmission.Scientific reports · 2021Article
- Therapeutic Efficacy of Artemether-Lumefantrine for Uncomplicated Falciparum Malaria in Northern Zambia.The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene · 2020Article
- Comparing prioritization strategies for delivering indoor residual spray (IRS) implementation, using a network approach.Malaria journal · 2020Article
- Improving the efficiency of reactive case detection for malaria elimination in southern Zambia: a cross-sectional study.Malaria journal · 2020Article
- The Impact of 3 Years of Targeted Indoor Residual Spraying With Pirimiphos-Methyl on Malaria Parasite Prevalence in a High-Transmission Area of Northern Zambia.American journal of epidemiology · 2019Article
- The use of GPS data loggers to describe the impact of spatio-temporal movement patterns on malaria control in a high-transmission area of northern Zambia.International journal of health geographics · 2019Article
- Risk Factors for Household Vector Abundance Using Indoor CDC Light Traps in a High Malaria Transmission Area of Northern Zambia.The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene · 2019Article
- Characterizing local-scale heterogeneity of malaria risk: a case study in Bunkpurugu-Yunyoo district in northern Ghana.Malaria journal · 2019Article
- Investigating the upsurge of malaria prevalence in Zambia between 2010 and 2015: a decomposition of determinants.Malaria journal · 2019Article
- Mapping multiple components of malaria risk for improved targeting of elimination interventions.Malaria journal · 2017Review
- Spatio-temporal heterogeneity of malaria vectors in northern Zambia: implications for vector control.Parasites & vectors · 2016Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
9 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Malaria risk maps may be used to guide policy decisions on whether vector control interventions should be targeted and, if so, where. Active surveillance for malaria was conducted through household surveys in Nchelenge District, Zambia from April 2012 through December 2014. Households were enumerated based on satellite imagery and randomly selected for study enrollment. At each visit, participants were administered a questionnaire and a malaria rapid diagnostic test (RDT). Logistic regression models were used to construct spatial prediction risk maps and maps of risk uncertainty. A total of 461 households were visited, comprising 1,725 participants, of whom 48% were RDT positive. Several environmental features were associated with increased household malaria risk in a multivariable logistic regression model adjusting for seasonal variation. The model was validated using both internal and external evaluation measures to generate and assess root mean square error, as well as sensitivity and specificity for predicted risk. The final, validated model was used to predict and map malaria risk including a measure of risk uncertainty. Malaria risk in a high, perennial transmission setting is widespread but heterogeneous at a local scale, with seasonal variation. Targeting malaria control interventions may not be appropriate in this epidemiological setting.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.