Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26411674›Full record

ArticleGenetic epidemiology2015

Resampling to Address the Winner's Curse in Genetic Association Analysis of Time to Event.

Julia G Poirier, Laura L Faye, Apostolos Dimitromanolakis, Andrew D Paterson, Lei Sun, Shelley B Bull

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Genetic epidemiology, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.5field-weighted citation impact, top 16% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 13 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Julia G PoirierLunenfeld-Tanenbaum Research Institute, Mount Sinai Hospital, Toronto, Canada.
Laura L FayeLunenfeld-Tanenbaum Research Institute, Mount Sinai Hospital, Toronto, Canada.
Apostolos DimitromanolakisLunenfeld-Tanenbaum Research Institute, Mount Sinai Hospital, Toronto, Canada.
Andrew D PatersonDalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada.
Lei SunDalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada.
Shelley B BullLunenfeld-Tanenbaum Research Institute, Mount Sinai Hospital, Toronto, Canada.
Public Health Ontario · CAMount Sinai Hospital · CAUniversity of Toronto · CA

Funding

Genome-wide association of common alleles with long-term diabetic complicationsR01DK077510 · NIDDK · HOSPITAL FOR SICK CHLDRN (TORONTO) · PI PATERSON, ANDREW D · 2006 to 2008
$2.3M
EPIDEMIOLOGY OF DIABETES INTERVENTIONS &COMPLICATIONSN01DK062204 · NIDDK · GEORGE WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · 1996 to 2004
$2.1M
CIHR MDR88001CIHR MOP84287NIDDK NIH HHS N01 DK062204NIDDK NIH HHS N01-DK-6-2204NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK077510NIDDK NIH HHS R01-DK-077510
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The "winner's curse" is a subtle and difficult problem in interpretation of genetic association, in which association estimates from large-scale gene detection studies are larger in magnitude than those from subsequent replication studies. This is practically important because use of a biased estimate from the original study will yield an underestimate of sample size requirements for replication, leaving the investigators with an underpowered study. Motivated by investigation of the genetics of type 1 diabetes complications in a longitudinal cohort of participants in the Diabetes Control and Complications Trial/Epidemiology of Diabetes Interventions and Complications (DCCT/EDIC) Genetics Study, we apply a bootstrap resampling method in analysis of time to nephropathy under a Cox proportional hazards model, examining 1,213 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in 201 candidate genes custom genotyped in 1,361 white probands. Among 15 top-ranked SNPs, bias reduction in log hazard ratio estimates ranges from 43.1% to 80.5%. In simulation studies based on the observed DCCT/EDIC genotype data, genome-wide bootstrap estimates for false-positive SNPs and for true-positive SNPs with low-to-moderate power are closer to the true values than uncorrected naïve estimates, but tend to overcorrect SNPs with high power. This bias-reduction technique is generally applicable for complex trait studies including quantitative, binary, and time-to-event traits.

Indexed as

BiasDiabetes Mellitus, Type 1False Positive ReactionsFemaleGenome-Wide Association StudyGenotypeHumansKidney DiseasesMaleModels, GeneticPhenotypePolymorphism, Single NucleotideProportional Hazards ModelsRiskSample SizeTime Factorsbootstrapcohort studiesDCCT/EDIC Genetics Studygenotypephenotypeselection biassurvival analysis

Identifiers

PMID26411674
PMCPMC4609263
OpenAlexW2131963011

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.