Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26402690›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2015

Quantifying Vulnerability to Extreme Heat in Time Series Analyses: A Novel Approach Applied to Neighborhood Social Disparities under Climate Change.

Tarik Benmarhnia, Patrick Grenier, Allan Brand, Michel Fournier, Séverine Deguen, Audrey Smargiassi

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Tarik BenmarhniaUniversité de Montréal, DSEST, Montréal, QC H3T 1A8, Canada. tarik.benmarhnia@mcgill.ca.
Patrick GrenierConsortium Ouranos, Montréal, Département Scénarios et Services Climatiques, Montréal, QC H3A 1B9, Canada. grenier.patrick@ouranos.ca.
Allan BrandInstitut National de Santé Publique du Québec, Montréal, QC H3A 1B9, Canada. allan.brand83@gmail.com.
Michel FournierDirection de santé publique de l'Agence de la santé et des services sociaux de Montréal, QC H2P 1E2, Canada. mfournie@santepub-mtl.qc.ca.
Séverine DeguenEHESP School of Public Health, Rennes, Sorbonne-Paris Cité 35043, France. severine.deguen@ehesp.fr.
Audrey SmargiassiUniversité de Montréal, DSEST, Montréal, QC H3T 1A8, Canada. allan.brand83@gmail.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesWe propose a novel approach to examine vulnerability in the relationship between heat and years of life lost and apply to neighborhood social disparities in Montreal and Paris.

methodsWe used historical data from the summers of 1990 through 2007 for Montreal and from 2004 through 2009 for Paris to estimate daily years of life lost social disparities (DYLLD), summarizing social inequalities across groups. We used Generalized Linear Models to separately estimate relative risks (RR) for DYLLD in association with daily mean temperatures in both cities. We used 30 climate scenarios of daily mean temperature to estimate future temperature distributions (2021-2050). We performed random effect meta-analyses to assess the impact of climate change by climate scenario for each city and compared the impact of climate change for the two cities using a meta-regression analysis.

resultsWe show that an increase in ambient temperature leads to an increase in social disparities in daily years of life lost. The impact of climate change on DYLLD attributable to temperature was of 2.06 (95% CI: 1.90, 2.25) in Montreal and 1.77 (95% CI: 1.61, 1.94) in Paris. The city explained a difference of 0.31 (95% CI: 0.14, 0.49) on the impact of climate change.

conclusionWe propose a new analytical approach for estimating vulnerability in the relationship between heat and health. Our results suggest that in Paris and Montreal, health disparities related to heat impacts exist today and will increase in the future.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeQuality-Adjusted Life YearsAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overCause of DeathChildChild, PreschoolCitiesExtreme HeatFemaleHumansInfantInfant, NewbornLinear Modelsclimate changeclimate modelspopulation healthsocial health inequalitiestemperaturetime-series analysesyears of life lost

Identifiers

PMID26402690
PMCPMC4586712

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.