Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26402348›Full record

ArticleJournal of studies on alcohol and drugs2015

Did the 18 Drinking Age Promote High School Dropout? Implications for Current Policy.

Andrew D Plunk, Arpana Agrawal, William F Tate, Patricia Cavazos-Rehg, Laura J Bierut, Richard A Grucza

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of studies on alcohol and drugs, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
0.9field-weighted citation impact, top 24% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 7 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Andrew D PlunkDepartment of Pediatrics, Eastern Virginia Medical School, Norfolk, Virginia.
Arpana AgrawalDepartment of Psychiatry, Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri.
William F TateDepartment of Education, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri.
Patricia Cavazos-RehgDepartment of Psychiatry, Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri.
Laura J BierutDepartment of Psychiatry, Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri.
Richard A GruczaDepartment of Psychiatry, Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri.
Washington University in St. Louis · USEastern Virginia Medical School · US

Funding

T32 Training Grant in Epidemiology, Services and Prevention ResearchT32DA007313 · NIDA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI PRICE, RUMI KATO · 1999 to 2013
$2.9M
POLICY AS ENVIRONMENT : LONG-TERM EFFECTS OF LAWS RESTRICTING YOUTH SUBSTANCE USER01DA031288 · NIDA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI GRUCZA, RICHARD A · 2012 to 2015
$1.1M
AGE AT FIRST DRINK AND ALCOHOLISM: INTERSECTION OF GENES AND ENVIRONMENTR21AA021235 · NIAAA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI AGRAWAL, ARPANA · 2013 to 2014
$392k
NIAAA NIH HHS R21 AA021235NIAAA NIH HHS R21AA021235NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA031288NIDA NIH HHS R01DA031288NIDA NIH HHS T32 DA007313NIDA NIH HHS T32DA07313
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveDisagreement exists over whether permissive minimum legal drinking age (MLDA) laws affected underage adolescents (e.g., those age 17 years with the MLDA of 18). We used MLDA changes during the 1970s and 1980s as a natural experiment to investigate how underage exposure to permissive MLDA affected high school dropout.

methodMLDA exposure was added to two data sets: (a) the 5% public use microdata samples of the 1990 and 2000 censuses (n = 3,671,075), and (b) a combined data set based on the 1991-1992 National Longitudinal Alcohol Epidemiological Survey (NLAES) and the 2001-2002 National Epidemiological Survey on Alcohol and Related Conditions (NESARC; n = 16,331). We used logistic regression to model different thresholds of MLDA on high school dropout. We also estimated models conditioned on demographic variables and familial risk of developing alcohol problems.

resultsOnly the MLDA of 18 predicted high school dropout. Exposure was associated with 4% and 13% higher odds of high school dropout for the census and NLAES/NESARC samples, respectively. We noted greater impact on women (5%-18%), Blacks (5%-19%), and Hispanics (6%). Self-report of parental alcohol problems was associated with 40% higher odds, which equals a 4.14-point increase in dropout rate for that population.

conclusionsThe MLDA of 18 likely had a large impact on high school dropout rates, suggesting that the presence of legal-aged peers in a high school setting increased access to alcohol for younger students. Our results also suggest that policy can promote less dangerous drinking behavior even when familial risk of alcohol use disorders is high.

Indexed as

AdolescentAlcohol DrinkingAlcohol-Related DisordersFemaleHumansLogistic ModelsLongitudinal StudiesMaleSchoolsStudent Dropouts

Identifiers

PMID26402348
PMCPMC4714820
OpenAlexW2122578518

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.