ArticleJournal of the Royal Society, Interface2015
Estimating malaria transmission from humans to mosquitoes in a noisy landscape.
Article in Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
10 citing papers in PubMed.
- Nonlinear effects of noise on outbreaks of mosquito-borne diseases.PLoS computational biology · 2026Article
- Modelling the effects of adult emergence on the surveillance and age distribution of medically important mosquitoes.PLoS computational biology · 2025Article
- Spatial dynamics of malaria transmission.PLoS computational biology · 2023Article
- Estimating female malaria mosquito age by quantifying Y-linked genes in stored male spermatozoa.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Epidemic malaria dynamics in Ethiopia: the role of self-limiting, poverty, HIV, climate change and human population growth.Malaria journal · 2022Article
- A New Test of a Theory about Old Mosquitoes.Trends in parasitology · 2021Review
- Linking mosquito surveillance to dengue fever through Bayesian mechanistic modeling.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2020Article
- Inter-annual variation in seasonal dengue epidemics driven by multiple interacting factors in Guangzhou, China.Nature communications · 2019Article
- Seasonality and heterogeneity of malaria transmission determine success of interventions in high-endemic settings: a modeling study.BMC infectious diseases · 2018Article
- Vaccines to Accelerate Malaria Elimination and Eventual Eradication.Cold Spring Harbor perspectives in medicine · 2017Review
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
Abstract
A basic quantitative understanding of malaria transmission requires measuring the probability a mosquito becomes infected after feeding on a human. Parasite prevalence in mosquitoes is highly age-dependent, and the unknown age-structure of fluctuating mosquito populations impedes estimation. Here, we simulate mosquito infection dynamics, where mosquito recruitment is modelled seasonally with fractional Brownian noise, and we develop methods for estimating mosquito infection rates. We find that noise introduces bias, but the magnitude of the bias depends on the 'colour' of the noise. Some of these problems can be overcome by increasing the sampling frequency, but estimates of transmission rates (and estimated reductions in transmission) are most accurate and precise if they combine parity, oocyst rates and sporozoite rates. These studies provide a basis for evaluating the adequacy of various entomological sampling procedures for measuring malaria parasite transmission from humans to mosquitoes and for evaluating the direct transmission-blocking effects of a vaccine.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.