Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26391134›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Heart Association2015

Identifying Individuals at Risk for Cardiovascular Events Across the Spectrum of Blood Pressure Levels.

Kunal N Karmali, Hongyan Ning, David C Goff, Donald M Lloyd-Jones

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Heart Association, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed
2.8field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 34 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Trial
  2. Trial
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Tracking of blood pressure levels from childhood.Pediatric nephrology (Berlin, Germany) · 2025
    Review
  6. Observational
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Hypertension.Annals of internal medicine · 2019
    Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. The Case for Low Blood Pressure Targets.American journal of hypertension · 2017
    Review
  17. Article
  18. Intensive lowering of blood pressure: Should we SPRINT?CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2016
    Article
  19. Article
  20. De-risking primary prevention: role of imaging.Therapeutic advances in cardiovascular disease
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Kunal N KarmaliDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL (K.N.K., H.N., D.M.L.J.).
Hongyan NingDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL (K.N.K., H.N., D.M.L.J.).
David C GoffColorado School of Public Health, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Center, Aurora, CO (D.C.G.).
Donald M Lloyd-JonesDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL (K.N.K., H.N., D.M.L.J.).
Northwestern University · USColorado School of Public Health · US

Funding

Northwestern University Clinical and Translational Science Institute (NUCATS)UL1TR001422 · NCATS · NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY AT CHICAGO · PI D'AQUILA, RICHARD · 2015 to 2023
$56.8M
RESEARCH TRAINING IN CVD EPIDEMIOLOGY AND PREVENTIONT32HL069771 · NHLBI · NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY AT CHICAGO · PI Mercedes Renee Carnethon · 2003 to 2026
$5.9M
Epidemiologic Study of Ethnicity and Lifetime Risks for Cardiovascular DiseaseR21HL085375 · NHLBI · NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY AT CHICAGO · PI LLOYD-JONES, DONALD M · 2006 to 2007
$297k
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001422NHLBI NIH HHS R21HL085375NHLBI NIH HHS T32 HL069771
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWe determined the proportion of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) events that occur across the spectrum of systolic blood pressure (SBP) and assessed whether multivariable risk assessment can identify persons who experience ASCVD events at all levels of SBP, including those with goal levels. METHODS AND

resultsParticipants aged 45 to 64 years from the Framingham Offspring and Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities studies were stratified based on treated and untreated SBP levels (<120, 120 to 129, 130 to 139, 140 to 149, 150 to 159, ≥160 mm Hg). We determined the number of excess ASCVD events in each SBP stratum by calculating the difference between observed and expected events (ASCVD event rate in untreated SBP <120 mm Hg was used as the reference). We categorized participants into 10-year ASCVD risk groups using the Pooled Cohort risk equations. There were 18 898 participants (78% white; 22% black) who were followed for 10 years. We estimated 427 excess ASCVD events, of which 56% (109 of 197) and 50% (115 of 230), respectively, occurred among untreated and treated participants with elevated SBP who were not recommended for antihypertensive therapy. Among untreated participants, 10-year ASCVD risk ≥7.5% identified 64% of those who experienced an ASCVD at 10 years and 30% of those who did not. Multivariable risk assessment was less useful in baseline-treated participants.

conclusionsHalf of excess ASCVD events occurred in persons with elevated SBP who were not currently recommended for antihypertensive therapy. Multivariable risk assessment may help identify those likely to benefit from further risk-reducing therapies. These findings support consideration of multivariable risk in guiding prevention across the spectrum of SBP.

Indexed as

Blood PressureAntihypertensive AgentsAtherosclerosisChi-Square DistributionFemaleHumansHypertensionLinear ModelsLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedMultivariate AnalysisPrimary PreventionProportional Hazards ModelsRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsAntihypertensive Agentsepidemiologyhypertensionprevention

Identifiers

PMID26391134
PMCPMC4599500
OpenAlexW2146526841

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.