Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26383851›Full record

ArticlePloS one2015

Arsenic in Drinking Water and Mortality for Cancer and Chronic Diseases in Central Italy, 1990-2010.

Daniela D'Ippoliti, Enrica Santelli, Manuela De Sario, Matteo Scortichini, Marina Davoli, Paola Michelozzi

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 53 papers, 9 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
53citing papers in PubMed, 9 pooled it
11.6field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

53 citing papers in PubMed, 9 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 113 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  4. Environmental toxic metal contaminants and risk of stroke: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Environmental science and pollution research international · 2022
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  14. Benchmark dose modeling for epidemiological dose-response assessment using prospective cohort studies.Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis · 2024
    Article
  15. Update of the risk assessment of inorganic arsenic in food.EFSA journal. European Food Safety Authority · 2024
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Review
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  20. miRNAs and arsenic-induced carcinogenesis.Advances in pharmacology (San Diego, Calif.) · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Daniela D'IppolitiDepartment of Epidemiology, Lazio Regional Health Service, Rome, Italy.
Enrica SantelliDepartment of Epidemiology, Lazio Regional Health Service, Rome, Italy.
Manuela De SarioDepartment of Epidemiology, Lazio Regional Health Service, Rome, Italy.
Matteo ScortichiniDepartment of Epidemiology, Lazio Regional Health Service, Rome, Italy.
Marina DavoliDepartment of Epidemiology, Lazio Regional Health Service, Rome, Italy.
Paola MichelozziDepartment of Epidemiology, Lazio Regional Health Service, Rome, Italy.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn several volcanic areas of Italy, arsenic levels exceed European regulatory limits (10 μg/L in drinking water). There is still uncertainty about health risks from arsenic at low-medium doses (<100 μg/L).

objectivesA large population-based study using an administrative cohort of residents in the Viterbo province (Central Italy), chronically exposed to low-medium arsenic levels via drinking water, was investigated to evaluate the effects of a lifetime exposure to arsenic on mortality from cancers and chronic diseases.

methodsThe study population consisted of 165,609 residents of 17 municipalities, followed from 1990 until 2010. Average individual arsenic exposure at the first residence (AsI) was estimated through a space-time modeling approach using residential history and arsenic concentrations from water supply. A time-dependent Cumulative Arsenic dose Indicator (CAI) was calculated, accounting for daily water intake and exposure duration. Mortality Hazard Ratios (HR) were estimated by gender for different diseases using Cox proportional models, adjusting for individual and area-level confounders. A flexible non-parametric approach was used to investigate dose-response relationships.

resultsMean AsI exposure was 19.3 μg/L, and average exposure duration was 39.5 years. Associations of AsI and CAI indicators with several diseases were found, with greatest risks found for lung cancer in both sexes (HR = 2.61 males; HR = 2.09 females), myocardial infarction, peripheral arterial disease and COPD in males (HR = 2.94; HR = 2.44; HR = 2.54 respectively) and diabetes in females (HR = 2.56). For lung cancer and cardiovascular diseases dose-response relationship is modelled by piecewise linear functions revealing effects even for doses lower than 10 μg/L, and no threshold dose value was identified as safe for health.

conclusionsResults provide new evidence for risk assessment of low-medium concentrations of arsenic and contribute to the ongoing debate about the threshold-dose of effect, suggesting that even concentrations below 10 μg/L carry a mortality risk. Policy actions are urgently needed in areas exposed to arsenic like in the Viterbo province, to comply with current EU regulations.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overArsenicArsenic PoisoningChildChronic DiseaseDrinking WaterEnvironmental ExposureFemaleHumansItalyMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasmsArsenicDrinking WaterWater Pollutants, Chemical

Identifiers

PMID26383851
PMCPMC4575137
OpenAlexW2267755288

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.