Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26378214›Full record

ArticleProceedings. Biological sciences2015

Quantifying uncertainty in the phylogenetics of Australian numeral systems.

Kevin Zhou, Claire Bowern

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings. Biological sciences, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. On the grammar of restricted-range numeral systems.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2025
    Article
  3. A phylogenetic analysis of numeral anchor choice in New Guinea and lowland South America.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2025
    Article
  4. Article
  5. The history of number words in the world's languages-what have we learnt so far?Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2021
    Article
  6. Article
  7. The deep history of the number words.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2017
    Article
  8. Phylogenetic approach to the evolution of color term systems.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2016
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Kevin ZhouDepartment of Biomedical Engineering, Yale University, 55 Prospect St, New Haven, CT 06511, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0351-8812
Claire BowernDepartment of Linguistics, Yale University, 370 Temple St, New Haven, CT 06511, USA claire.bowern@yale.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9512-4393

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Researchers have long been interested in the evolution of culture and the ways in which change in cultural systems can be reconstructed and tracked. Within the realm of language, these questions are increasingly investigated with Bayesian phylogenetic methods. However, such work in cultural phylogenetics could be improved by more explicit quantification of reconstruction and transition probabilities. We apply such methods to numerals in the languages of Australia. As a large phylogeny with almost universal 'low-limit' systems, Australian languages are ideal for investigating numeral change over time. We reconstruct the most likely extent of the system at the root and use that information to explore the ways numerals evolve. We show that these systems do not increment serially, but most commonly vary their upper limits between 3 and 5. While there is evidence for rapid system elaboration beyond the lower limits, languages lose numerals as well as gain them. We investigate the ways larger numerals build on smaller bases, and show that there is a general tendency to both gain and replace 4 by combining 2 + 2 (rather than inventing a new unanalysable word 'four'). We develop a series of methods for quantifying and visualizing the results.

Indexed as

LanguageAustraliaBayes TheoremCultural EvolutionHumansLinguisticsUncertaintyAustralian languagescultural reconstructionevolutionlinguisticsphylogenetics

Identifiers

PMID26378214
PMCPMC4614748

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.