Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26371556›Full record

ArticleeLife2015

The effects of a deleterious mutation load on patterns of influenza A/H3N2's antigenic evolution in humans.

Katia Koelle, David A Rasmussen

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in eLife, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 54 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
54citing papers in PubMed
5.9field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

54 citing papers in PubMed, 91 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Phylodynamics beyond neutrality: the impact of incomplete purifying selection on viral phylogenies and inference.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
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  8. A speed limit on serial strain replacement from original antigenic sin.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. A speed limit on serial strain replacement from original antigenic sin.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2024
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Evolutionary stability of antigenically escaping viruses.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  15. Fitness effects of mutations to SARS-CoV-2 proteins.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2023
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Review
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Katia KoelleDepartment of Biology, Duke University, Durham, United States.
David A RasmussenDepartment of Biology, Duke University, Durham, United States.
Duke University · USFogarty International Center · US

Funding

Understanding Transmission with Integrated Genetic and Epidemiologic InferenceU54GM111274 · NIGMS · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI BEDFORD, TREVOR BC · 2014 to 2018
$12.5M
Training Program in Developmental & Stem Cell BiologyT32HD040372 · NICHD · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI Terry H Lechler · 2001 to 2026
$8.9M
NICHD NIH HHS T32 HD040372NIGMS NIH HHS U54 GM111274NIGMS NIH HHS U54-GM111274
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Recent phylogenetic analyses indicate that RNA virus populations carry a significant deleterious mutation load. This mutation load has the potential to shape patterns of adaptive evolution via genetic linkage to beneficial mutations. Here, we examine the effect of deleterious mutations on patterns of influenza A subtype H3N2's antigenic evolution in humans. By first analyzing simple models of influenza that incorporate a mutation load, we show that deleterious mutations, as expected, act to slow the virus's rate of antigenic evolution, while making it more punctuated in nature. These models further predict three distinct molecular pathways by which antigenic cluster transitions occur, and we find phylogenetic patterns consistent with each of these pathways in influenza virus sequences. Simulations of a more complex phylodynamic model further indicate that antigenic mutations act in concert with deleterious mutations to reproduce influenza's spindly hemagglutinin phylogeny, co-circulation of antigenic variants, and high annual attack rates.

Indexed as

Adaptation, BiologicalAntigenic VariationEvolution, MolecularMutationAntigens, ViralHumansInfluenza A Virus, H3N2 SubtypeInfluenza, HumanModels, BiologicalPhylogenyAntigens, Viralantigenic evolutiondeleterious mutationsepidemiologyglobal healthinfluenza evolutionphylodynamicsviruses

Identifiers

PMID26371556
PMCPMC4611170
OpenAlexW2187302156

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.