Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26355574›Full record

ArticleAIDS (London, England)2015

Modelling the impact and cost-effectiveness of combination prevention amongst HIV serodiscordant couples in Nigeria.

Kate M Mitchell, Aurélia Lépine, Fern Terris-Prestholt, Kwasi Torpey, Hadiza Khamofu, Morenike O Folayan, Jonah Musa, James Anenih, Atiene S Sagay, Emmanuel Alhassan and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in AIDS (London, England), 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 28 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
28citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

28 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Kate M MitchellaLondon School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK bFamily Health International, Abuja cObafemi Awolowo University and New HIV Vaccine and Microbicide Advocacy Society, Lagos dUniversity of Jos, Jos eNational Agency for the Control of AIDS, Abuja, Nigeria fUniversity of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Aurélia Lépine
Fern Terris-Prestholt
Kwasi Torpey
Hadiza Khamofu
Morenike O Folayan
Jonah Musa
James Anenih
Atiene S Sagay
Emmanuel Alhassan
John Idoko
Peter Vickerman

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/L012057/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo estimate the impact and cost-effectiveness of treatment as prevention (TasP), pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) and condom promotion for serodiscordant couples in Nigeria.

designMathematical and cost modelling.

methodsA deterministic model of HIV-1 transmission within a cohort of serodiscordant couples and to/from external partners was parameterized using data from Nigeria and other African settings. The impact and cost-effectiveness were estimated for condom promotion, PrEP and/or TasP, compared with a baseline where antiretroviral therapy (ART) was offered according to 2010 national guidelines (CD4 <350 cells/μl) to all HIV-positive partners. The impact was additionally compared with a baseline of current ART coverage (35% of those with CD4 <350 cells/μl). Full costs (in US $2012) of programme introduction and implementation were estimated from a provider perspective.

resultsSubstantial benefits came from scaling up ART to all HIV-positive partners according to 2010 national guidelines, with additional smaller benefits of providing TasP, PrEP or condom promotion. Compared with a baseline of offering ART to all HIV-positive partners at the 2010 national guidelines, condom promotion was the most cost-effective strategy [US $1206/disability-adjusted-life-year (DALY)], the next most cost-effective intervention was to additionally give TasP to HIV-positive partners (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio US $1607/DALY), followed by additionally giving PrEP to HIV-negative partners until their HIV-positive partners initiate ART (US $7870/DALY). When impact was measured in terms of infections averted, PrEP with condom promotion prevented double the number of infections as condom promotion alone.

conclusionsThe first priority intervention for serodiscordant couples in Nigeria should be scaled up ART access for HIV-positive partners. Subsequent incremental benefits are greatest with condom promotion and TasP, followed by PrEP.

Indexed as

Sexual PartnersAdolescentAdultAnti-Retroviral AgentsChemopreventionCohort StudiesCondomsCost-Benefit AnalysisDisease Transmission, InfectiousFemaleHIV InfectionsHIV SeronegativityHIV SeropositivityHumansMaleMiddle AgedAnti-Retroviral Agents

Identifiers

PMID26355574
PMCPMC4568890

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.