Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26350602›Full record

ArticleJournal of clinical sleep medicine : JCSM : official publication of the American Academy of Sleep Medicine2016

Clinical Prediction Models for Sleep Apnea: The Importance of Medical History over Symptoms.

Berk Ustun, M Brandon Westover, Cynthia Rudin, Matt T Bianchi

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of clinical sleep medicine : JCSM : official publication of the American Academy of Sleep Medicine, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 41 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
41citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

41 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  8. International Consensus Statement on Obstructive Sleep Apnea.International forum of allergy & rhinology · 2023
    Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Automated deep neural network analysis of lateral cephalogram data can aid in detecting obstructive sleep apnea.Journal of clinical sleep medicine : JCSM : official publication of the American Academy of Sleep Medicine · 2023
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Berk UstunElectrical Engineering and Computer Science, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA.
M Brandon WestoverNeurology Department, Sleep Division, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston MA.
Cynthia RudinSloan School of Management and Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA.
Matt T BianchiNeurology Department, Sleep Division, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston MA.

Funding

Quantitative Monitoring and Control of Sedation and Pain in the ICU EnvironmentK23NS090900 · NINDS · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI WESTOVER, MICHAEL BRANDON · 2014 to 2018
$988k
NINDS NIH HHS K23 NS090900
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

STUDY

objectiveObstructive sleep apnea (OSA) is a treatable contributor to morbidity and mortality. However, most patients with OSA remain undiagnosed. We used a new machine learning method known as SLIM (Supersparse Linear Integer Models) to test the hypothesis that a diagnostic screening tool based on routinely available medical information would be superior to one based solely on patient-reported sleep-related symptoms.

methodsWe analyzed polysomnography (PSG) and self-reported clinical information from 1,922 patients tested in our clinical sleep laboratory. We used SLIM and 7 state-of-the-art classification methods to produce predictive models for OSA screening using features from: (i) self-reported symptoms; (ii) self-reported medical information that could, in principle, be extracted from electronic health records (demographics, comorbidities), or (iii) both.

resultsFor diagnosing OSA, we found that model performance using only medical history features was superior to model performance using symptoms alone, and similar to model performance using all features. Performance was similar to that reported for other widely used tools: sensitivity 64.2% and specificity 77%. SLIM accuracy was similar to state-of-the-art classification models applied to this dataset, but with the benefit of full transparency, allowing for hands-on prediction using yes/no answers to a small number of clinical queries.

conclusionTo predict OSA, variables such as age, sex, BMI, and medical history are superior to the symptom variables we examined for predicting OSA. SLIM produces an actionable clinical tool that can be applied to data that is routinely available in modern electronic health records, which may facilitate automated, rather than manual, OSA screening. COMMENTARY: A commentary on this article appears in this issue on page 159.

Indexed as

Decision Support TechniquesAdultFemaleHumansMaleMedical History TakingMiddle AgedModels, StatisticalPolysomnographyReproducibility of ResultsSelf ReportSensitivity and SpecificitySleep Apnea, Obstructiveelectronic health recordsmachine learningmedical scoring systemssleep apneasparsity in predictive models

Identifiers

PMID26350602
PMCPMC4751423

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.