ArticleScientific reports2015
Modeling the transmission dynamics of Ebola virus disease in Liberia.
Article in Scientific reports, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
22 citing papers in PubMed.
- Modeling Global Monkeypox Infection Spread Data: A Comparative Study of Time Series Regression and Machine Learning Models.Current microbiology · 2023Article
- Assessing the risk of West Nile Virus seasonal outbreaks and its vector control in an urbanizing bird community: An integrative R0-modelling study in the city of Merida, Mexico.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2023Article
- Modeling Global COVID-19 Dissemination Data After the Emergence of Omicron Variant Using Multipronged Approaches.Current microbiology · 2022Article
- Mechanisms of phosphatidylserine influence on viral production: A computational model of Ebola virus matrix protein assembly.The Journal of biological chemistry · 2022Article
- Modelling the Role of Human Behaviour in Ebola Virus Disease (EVD) Transmission Dynamics.Computational and mathematical methods in medicine · 2022Article
- COVID-19 Propagation Model Based on Economic Development and Interventions.Wireless personal communications · 2022Article
- A particle swarm optimization approach for predicting the number of COVID-19 deaths.Scientific reports · 2021Review
- Preparing for the Next Wave of COVID-19: Resilience in the Face of a Spreading Pandemic.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020Article
- Effect of sexual transmission on the West Africa Ebola outbreak in 2014: a mathematical modelling study.Scientific reports · 2019Article
- A Predictive Spatial Distribution Framework for Filovirus-Infected Bats.Scientific reports · 2018Article
- Article
- Article
- Dynamic behaviors of a modified SIR model in epidemic diseases using nonlinear incidence and recovery rates.PloS one · 2017Article
- Modelling the transmission and control strategies of varicella among school children in Shenzhen, China.PloS one · 2017Article
- Identification of foot and mouth disease risk areas using a multi-criteria analysis approach.PloS one · 2017Article
- Modeling the Ebola zoonotic dynamics: Interplay between enviroclimatic factors and bat ecology.PloS one · 2017Article
- Pattern transitions in spatial epidemics: Mechanisms and emergent properties.Physics of life reviews · 2016Review
- Heterogeneity in District-Level Transmission of Ebola Virus Disease during the 2013-2015 Epidemic in West Africa.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2016Article
- Hopf Bifurcation of an Epidemic Model with Delay.PloS one · 2016Article
- Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
8 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Ebola virus disease (EVD) has erupted many times in some zones since it was first found in 1976. The 2014 EVD outbreak in West Africa is the largest ever, which has caused a large number of deaths and the most serious country is Liberia during the outbreak period. Based on the data released by World Health Organization and the actual transmission situations, we investigate the impact of different transmission routes on the EVD outbreak in Liberia and estimate the basic reproduction number R0 = 2.012 in the absence of effective control measures. Through sensitivity and uncertainty analysis, we reveal that the transmission coefficients of suspected and probable cases have stronger correlations on the basic reproduction number. Furthermore, we study the influence of control measures (isolation and safe burial measures) on EVD outbreak. It is found that if combined control measures are taken, the basic reproduction number will be less than one and thus EVD in Liberia may be well contained. The obtained results may provide new guidance to prevent and control the spread of disease.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.