Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26332304›Full record

Trial reportBJU international2016

A positive family history as a risk factor for prostate cancer in a population-based study with organised prostate-specific antigen screening: results of the Swiss European Randomised Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer (ERSPC, Aarau).

Marco Randazzo, Alexander Müller, Sigrid Carlsson, Daniel Eberli, Andreas Huber, Rainer Grobholz, Lukas Manka, Ashkan Mortezavi, Tullio Sulser, Franz Recker and 1 more

Open access · greenAbstract readMulticenter StudyRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in BJU international, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.6field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 48 citations in OpenAlex.

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  19. Prostate cancer screening-when to start and how to screen?Translational andrology and urology · 2018
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 4 institutions in 4 countries.

Marco RandazzoDepartment of Urology, University Hospital Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland.
Alexander MüllerDepartment of Urology, University Hospital Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland.
Sigrid CarlssonDepartment of Surgery (Urology Service), Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA.
Daniel EberliDepartment of Urology, University Hospital Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland.
Andreas HuberDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, Cantonal Hospital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland.
Rainer GrobholzDepartment of Pathology, Cantonal Hospital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland.
Lukas MankaDepartment of Urology, Academic Hospital Braunschweig, Braunschweig, Germany.
Ashkan MortezaviDepartment of Urology, University Hospital Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland.
Tullio SulserDepartment of Urology, University Hospital Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland.
Franz ReckerDepartment of Urology, Cantonal Hospital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland.
Maciej KwiatkowskiDepartment of Urology, Cantonal Hospital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland.
Kantonsspital Aarau · CHUniversity Hospital of Zurich · CHKlinikum Braunschweig · DEUniversity of Gothenburg · SE

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI Hongbiao Carl Lekaye · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo assess the value of a positive family history (FH) as a risk factor for prostate cancer incidence and grade among men undergoing organised prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening in a population-based study. SUBJECTS AND

methodsThe study cohort comprised all attendees of the Swiss arm of the European Randomised Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer (ERSPC) with systematic PSA level tests every 4 years. Men reporting first-degree relative(s) diagnosed with prostate cancer were considered to have a positive FH. Biopsy was exclusively PSA triggered at a PSA level threshold of 3 ng/mL. The primary endpoint was prostate cancer diagnosis. Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analyses were used.

resultsOf 4 932 attendees with a median (interquartile range, IQR) age of 60.9 (57.6-65.1) years, 334 (6.8%) reported a positive FH. The median (IQR) follow-up duration was 11.6 (10.3-13.3) years. Cumulative prostate cancer incidence was 60/334 (18%, positive FH) and 550/4 598 (12%, negative FH) [odds ratio 1.6, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.2-2.2, P = 0.001). In both groups, most prostate cancer diagnosed was low grade. There were no significant differences in PSA level at diagnosis, biopsy Gleason score or Gleason score on pathological specimen among men who underwent radical prostatectomy between both groups. On multivariable analysis, age (hazard ratio [HR] 1.04, 95% CI 1.02-1.06), baseline PSA level (HR 1.13, 95% CI 1.12-1.14), and FH (HR 1.6, 95% CI 1.24-2.14) were independent predictors for overall prostate cancer incidence (all P < 0.001). Only baseline PSA level (HR 1.14, 95% CI 1.12-1.16, P < 0.001) was an independent predictor of Gleason score ≥7 prostate cancer on prostate biopsy. The proportion of interval prostate cancer diagnosed in-between the screening rounds was not significantly different.

conclusionIrrespective of the FH status, the current PSA-based screening setting detects the majority of aggressive prostate cancers and missed only a minority of interval cancers with a 4-year screening algorithm. Our results suggest that men with a positive FH are at increased risk of low-grade but not aggressive prostate cancer.

Indexed as

AgedEarly Detection of CancerHumansIncidenceKaplan-Meier EstimateMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasm GradingPedigreePrognosisProstate-Specific AntigenProstatic NeoplasmsRisk FactorsSwitzerlandProstate-Specific Antigenpositive family historyprostate cancer aggressivenessprostate cancer screeningprostate-specific antigenscreening intensity

Identifiers

PMID26332304
PMCPMC4955666
OpenAlexW1954461173

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.