Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26331945›Full record

ArticlePloS one2015

Reconstruction of the Evolutionary Dynamics of A(H3N2) Influenza Viruses Circulating in Italy from 2004 to 2012.

Erika Ebranati, Elena Pariani, Antonio Piralla, Monica Gozalo-Margüello, Carla Veo, Laura Bubba, Antonella Amendola, Massimo Ciccozzi, Massimo Galli, Alessandro Remo Zanetti and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Erika EbranatiDipartimento di Scienze Biomediche e Cliniche "Luigi Sacco", Sezione di Malattie Infettive, Università degli Studi di Milano, Milan, Italy.
Elena ParianiDipartimento di Scienze Biomediche per la Salute, Università degli Studi di Milano, Milan, Italy.
Antonio PirallaSS Virologia Molecolare, SC Virologia e Microbiologia, Fondazione IRCCS Policlinico San Matteo, Pavia, Italy.
Monica Gozalo-MargüelloSS Virologia Molecolare, SC Virologia e Microbiologia, Fondazione IRCCS Policlinico San Matteo, Pavia, Italy; Marqués de Valdecilla University Hospital, Santander, Spain.
Carla VeoDipartimento di Scienze Biomediche e Cliniche "Luigi Sacco", Sezione di Malattie Infettive, Università degli Studi di Milano, Milan, Italy.
Laura BubbaDipartimento di Scienze Biomediche per la Salute, Università degli Studi di Milano, Milan, Italy.
Antonella AmendolaDipartimento di Scienze Biomediche per la Salute, Università degli Studi di Milano, Milan, Italy.
Massimo CiccozziIstituto Superiore di Sanità, Dipartimento Malattie Infettive, Parassitarie ed Immunomediate, Rome, Italy.
Massimo GalliDipartimento di Scienze Biomediche e Cliniche "Luigi Sacco", Sezione di Malattie Infettive, Università degli Studi di Milano, Milan, Italy.
Alessandro Remo ZanettiDipartimento di Scienze Biomediche per la Salute, Università degli Studi di Milano, Milan, Italy.
Fausto BaldantiSS Virologia Molecolare, SC Virologia e Microbiologia, Fondazione IRCCS Policlinico San Matteo, Pavia, Italy.
Gianguglielmo ZehenderDipartimento di Scienze Biomediche e Cliniche "Luigi Sacco", Sezione di Malattie Infettive, Università degli Studi di Milano, Milan, Italy.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundInfluenza A viruses are characterised by their rapid evolution, and the appearance of point mutations in the viral hemagglutinin (HA) domain causes seasonal epidemics. The A(H3N2) virus has higher mutation rate than the A(H1N1) virus. The aim of this study was to reconstruct the evolutionary dynamics of the A(H3N2) viruses circulating in Italy between 2004 and 2012 in the light of the forces driving viral evolution.

methodsPhylodinamic analyses were made using a Bayesian method, and codon-specific positive selection acting on the HA coding sequence was evaluated.

resultsGlobal and local phylogenetic analyses showed that the Italian strains collected between 2004 and 2012 grouped into five significant Italian clades that included viral sequences circulating in different epidemic seasons. The time of the most recent common ancestor (tMRCA) of the tree root was between May and December 2003. The tMRCA estimates of the major clades suggest that the origin of a new viral strain precedes the effective circulation of the strain in the Italian population by 6-31 months, thus supporting a central role of global migration in seeding the epidemics in Italy. The study of selection pressure showed that four codons were under positive selection, three of which were located in antigenic sites. Analysis of population dynamics showed the alternation of periods of exponential growth followed by a decrease in the effective number of infections corresponding to epidemic and inter-epidemic seasons.

conclusionsOur analyses suggest that a complex interaction between the immune status of the population, migrations, and a few selective sweeps drive the influenza A(H3N2) virus evolution. Our findings suggest the possibility of the year-round survival of local strains even in temperate zones, a hypothesis that warrants further investigation.

Indexed as

Evolution, MolecularBayes TheoremHumansInfluenza A Virus, H3N2 SubtypeItalyLikelihood FunctionsPhylogeny

Identifiers

PMID26331945
PMCPMC4558001

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.