Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26299237›Full record

ArticleAmerican heart journal2015

Six-year change in high-sensitivity C-reactive protein and risk of diabetes, cardiovascular disease, and mortality.

Christina M Parrinello, Pamela L Lutsey, Christie M Ballantyne, Aaron R Folsom, James S Pankow, Elizabeth Selvin

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in American heart journal, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 70 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
70citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
6.1field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

70 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 120 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  6. Trial
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  9. Article
  10. The High-Sensitivity C-Reactive Protein-Albumin-Lymphocyte Index Is a Prognostic Marker for All-Cause and Cardiovascular Mortality in Patients With ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction.Catheterization and cardiovascular interventions : official journal of the Society for Cardiac Angiography & Interventions · 2026
    Article
  11. Article
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  13. Repeat CRP measurements and incident myocardial infarction.American journal of preventive cardiology · 2026
    Article
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  19. Anti-Inflammatory Effects of SGLT2 Inhibitors: Focus on Macrophages.International journal of molecular sciences · 2025
    Review
  20. Article

10 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Christina M ParrinelloDepartment of Epidemiology and the Welch Center for Prevention, Epidemiology and Clinical Research, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD.
Pamela L LutseyDivision of Epidemiology and Community Health, University of Minnesota School of Public Health, Minneapolis, MN.
Christie M BallantyneSection of Cardiovascular Research, Baylor College of Medicine and Houston Methodist DeBakey Heart and Vascular Center, Houston, TX.
Aaron R FolsomDivision of Epidemiology and Community Health, University of Minnesota School of Public Health, Minneapolis, MN.
James S PankowDivision of Epidemiology and Community Health, University of Minnesota School of Public Health, Minneapolis, MN.
Elizabeth SelvinDepartment of Epidemiology and the Welch Center for Prevention, Epidemiology and Clinical Research, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD; Division of General Internal Medicine, Department of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD. Electronic address: eselvin@jhu.edu.
Johns Hopkins University · USUniversity of Minnesota · USHouston Methodist · USMinnesota Department of Health · US

Funding

CARDIOVASCULAR EPIDEMIOLOGY INSTITUTIONAL TRAININGT32HL007024 · NHLBI · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI Elizabeth Selvin · 1985 to 2026
$17.5M
Diabetes and Prediabetes in Older Adults in ARICR01DK089174 · NIDDK · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI SELVIN, ELIZABETH · 2011 to 2020
$6.4M
NHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100005CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100005GNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100005INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100006CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100007CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100007INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100008CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100008INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100009CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100009INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100010CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100011CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100011INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201100012CNHLBI NIH HHS T32 HL007024NHLBI NIH HHS T32HL007024NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK089174NIDDK NIH HHS R01DK089174PHS HHS HHSN268201100005CPHS HHS HHSN268201100006CPHS HHS HHSN268201100007CPHS HHS HHSN268201100008CPHS HHS HHSN268201100009CPHS HHS HHSN268201100010CPHS HHS HHSN268201100011CPHS HHS HHSN268201100012C
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSingle measurements of elevated high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) are associated with increased risk of diabetes, cardiovascular disease, and mortality. Large increases or sustained elevations in hs-CRP may be associated with even greater risk of these outcomes. The objective of this study was to characterize the association of 6-year change in hs-CRP with incident diabetes, incident cardiovascular events (heart disease, stroke, and heart failure), and mortality.

methodsWe included 10,160 ARIC participants with hs-CRP measured at visits 2 (1990-1992) and 4 (1996-1998). Change in hs-CRP was categorized as sustained low/moderate (<3 mg/L at both visits), decreased (≥3 mg/L at visit 2 and <3 mg/L at visit 4), increased (<3 mg/L at visit 2 and ≥3 mg/L at visit 4), and sustained elevated (≥3 mg/L at both visits). Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the association of 6-year change in hs-CRP with incident diabetes, cardiovascular events, and death during ~15 years after visit 4.

resultsCompared with persons with sustained low/moderate hs-CRP, those with increased or sustained elevated hs-CRP had an increased risk of incident diabetes (hazard ratios [95% CIs] 1.56 [1.38-1.76] and 1.39 [1.25-1.56], respectively), whereas those with deceased hs-CRP did not. Persons with sustained elevated hs-CRP had an increased risk of coronary heart disease, ischemic stroke, heart failure, and mortality (hazard ratios [95% CIs] 1.51 [1.23-1.85], 1.70 [1.32-2.20], 1.60 [1.35-1.89], and 1.52 [1.37-1.69], respectively) compared with those with sustained low/moderate hs-CRP. Associations for sustained elevated hs-CRP were greater than for those with increased hs-CRP over 6 years.

conclusionsLarge increases or sustained elevations in hs-CRP over a 6-year period were associated with a subsequent increased risk of diabetes, and persons with sustained elevations in hs-CRP were at the highest risk for cardiovascular disease and mortality. Two measurements of hs-CRP are better than one for characterizing risk, and large increases are particularly prognostic.

Indexed as

BiomarkersCardiovascular DiseasesCause of DeathComorbidityC-Reactive ProteinDiabetes MellitusDisease ProgressionFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedNephelometry and TurbidimetryPrognosisRisk AssessmentBiomarkersC-Reactive Protein

Identifiers

PMID26299237
PMCPMC4548857
OpenAlexW2055089643

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.