ArticleProceedings. Biological sciences2015
Resolving the life cycle alters expected impacts of climate change.
Article in Proceedings. Biological sciences, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 31 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
31 citing papers in PubMed.
- Regulatory Responses of Ectothermic Embryos to Predicted Heat Stresses Under Near-Future Climate Change.Molecular ecology · 2026Article
- Climate-induced patterns of activity and nest conditions select for genes associated with growth and maturation in a widespread lizard species.Research square · 2026Article
- Embryos are largely understudied in a representative sample of journals in conservation physiology.Conservation physiology · 2026Article
- Giving their all for their offspring: physiological trade-offs in an Andean-Patagonian viviparous lizard in response to global warming.Biology open · 2025Article
- The relationship between the body and air temperature in a terrestrial ectotherm.Ecology and evolution · 2024Article
- Identifying species traits that predict vulnerability to climate change.Cambridge prisms. Extinction · 2024Review
- Can nesting behaviour allow reptiles to adapt to climate change?Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2023Review
- Forecasting Brassica napus production under climate change with a mechanistic species distribution model.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Rapid heat hardening in embryos of the lizardBiology letters · 2023Article
- Life-history responses to temperature and seasonality mediate ectotherm consumer-resource dynamics under climate warming.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2023Article
- Article
- A novel method for measuring acute thermal tolerance in fish embryos.Conservation physiology · 2023Article
- Life cycle complexity and body mass drive erratic changes in climate vulnerability across ontogeny in a seasonally migrating butterfly.Conservation physiology · 2023Article
- Article
- Male fertility thermal limits predict vulnerability to climate warming.Nature communications · 2021Article
- Environmental Thermal Stress Induces Neuronal Cell Death and Developmental Malformations in Reptiles.Integrative organismal biology (Oxford, England) · 2021Article
- Egg incubation temperature does not influence adult heat tolerance in the lizardBiology letters · 2020Article
- Population dynamics of three lizard species from the genus Sceloporus: short-term changes in demographic parameters.Integrative zoology · 2019Article
- Stage-specific genotype-by-environment interactions for cold and heat hardiness in Drosophila melanogaster.Heredity · 2019Article
- Higher incubation temperatures produce long-lasting upward shifts in cold tolerance, but not heat tolerance, of hatchling geckos.Biology open · 2019Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
7 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Recent models predict contrasting impacts of climate change on tropical and temperate species, but these models ignore how environmental stress and organismal tolerance change during the life cycle. For example, geographical ranges and extinction risks have been inferred from thermal constraints on activity during the adult stage. Yet, most animals pass through a sessile embryonic stage before reaching adulthood, making them more susceptible to warming climates than current models would suggest. By projecting microclimates at high spatio-temporal resolution and measuring thermal tolerances of embryos, we developed a life cycle model of population dynamics for North American lizards. Our analyses show that previous models dramatically underestimate the demographic impacts of climate change. A predicted loss of fitness in 2% of the USA by 2100 became 35% when considering embryonic performance in response to hourly fluctuations in soil temperature. Most lethal events would have been overlooked if we had ignored thermal stress during embryonic development or had averaged temperatures over time. Therefore, accurate forecasts require detailed knowledge of environmental conditions and thermal tolerances throughout the life cycle.
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