Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26282392›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2015

Global travel patterns and risk of measles in Ontario and Quebec, Canada: 2007-2011.

Sarah E Wilson, Kamran Khan, Vladimir Gilca, Jennifer Miniota, Shelley L Deeks, Gillian Lim, Rose Eckhardt, Shelly Bolotin, Natasha S Crowcroft

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. The use and reporting of airline passenger data for infectious disease modelling: a systematic review.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2019
    Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Sarah E WilsonPublic Health Ontario, Toronto, ON, Canada. sarah.wilson@oahpp.ca.
Kamran KhanSt Michael's Hospital, Department of Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, Toronto, ON, Canada. khank@smh.ca.
Vladimir GilcaInstitut national de santé publique du Québec, Québec, QC, Canada. vladimir.Gilca@inspq.qc.ca.
Jennifer MiniotaCentre for Research on Inner City Health, Keenan Research Centre, Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute, Toronto, ON, Canada. MiniotaJ@smh.ca.
Shelley L DeeksPublic Health Ontario, Toronto, ON, Canada. shelley.deeks@oahpp.ca.
Gillian LimPublic Health Ontario, Toronto, ON, Canada. gillian.lim@oahpp.ca.
Rose EckhardtCentre for Research on Inner City Health, Keenan Research Centre, Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute, Toronto, ON, Canada. rose.eckhardt@gmail.com.
Shelly BolotinPublic Health Ontario, Toronto, ON, Canada. shelly.bolotin@oahpp.ca.
Natasha S CrowcroftPublic Health Ontario, Toronto, ON, Canada. natasha.crowcroft@oahpp.ca.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn 2011 the largest measles outbreak in North America in a decade occurred in Quebec, Canada with over 700 cases. In contrast, measles activity in neighbouring province Ontario remained low (8 cases). Our objective was to determine the extent to which the difference could be explained by differing travel patterns.

methodsWe explored the relationship between measles cases over 2007-2011, by importation classification, in Quebec and Ontario in relation to global travel patterns to each province using an ecological approach. Global measles exposure was estimated by multiplying the monthly traveler volume for each country of origin into Quebec or Ontario by the yearly measles incidence rate for the corresponding country. Visual inspection of temporal figures and calculation of Pearson correlation coefficients were performed.

resultsGlobal measles exposure was similar in Ontario and Quebec. In Quebec, there was a nearly perfectly linear relationship between annual measles cases and its global measles exposure index over 2007-2011 (r = 0.99, p = 0.001). In contrast, there was a non-significant association in Ontario. The 2011 rise in Quebec's index was largely driven by a dramatic increase in measles activity in France the same year.

conclusionsGlobal measles activity was associated with measles epidemiology in Quebec. Global measles exposure risk is higher in Ontario than Quebec. Differences in measles epidemiology between Ontario and Quebec from 2007-2011 are not explained by greater exposure in Quebec. A combination of alternative factors may be responsible, including differences in population susceptibility.

Indexed as

TravelDisease OutbreaksDisease SusceptibilityHumansMeaslesMeasles VaccineOntarioQuebecRisk FactorsSeasonsMeasles Vaccine

Identifiers

PMID26282392
PMCPMC4539886

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.