Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26280253›Full record

ArticleCancer2015

Cost-effectiveness analysis of papillary thyroid cancer surveillance.

Laura Y Wang, Benjamin R Roman, Jocelyn C Migliacci, Frank L Palmer, R Michael Tuttle, Ashok R Shaha, Jatin P Shah, Snehal G Patel, Ian Ganly

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.4field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 58 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Guideline
  2. What Is New in the 2025 American Thyroid Association's Guidelines on Thyroid Cancer?Endocrine practice : official journal of the American College of Endocrinology and the American Association of Clinical Endocrinologists · 2025
    Article
  3. Use of Neck Ultrasound as Surveillance in Older Adults With Thyroid Cancer.Endocrine practice : official journal of the American College of Endocrinology and the American Association of Clinical Endocrinologists · 2025
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Hemithyroidectomy for Thyroid Cancer: A Review.Medicina (Kaunas, Lithuania) · 2020
    Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Review
  19. Review
  20. Post-treatment surveillance of thyroid cancer.European journal of surgical oncology : the journal of the European Society of Surgical Oncology and the British Association of Surgical Oncology · 2018
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Laura Y WangHead and Neck Service, Department of Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York.
Benjamin R RomanHead and Neck Service, Department of Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York.
Jocelyn C MigliacciHead and Neck Service, Department of Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York.
Frank L PalmerHead and Neck Service, Department of Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York.
R Michael TuttleEndocrine Service, Department of Medicine, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York.
Ashok R ShahaHead and Neck Service, Department of Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York.
Jatin P ShahHead and Neck Service, Department of Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York.
Snehal G PatelHead and Neck Service, Department of Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York.
Ian GanlyHead and Neck Service, Department of Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York.
Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center · US

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI Nicholas D Socci · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe recent overdiagnosis of subclinical, low-risk papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) coincides with a growing national interest in cost-effective health care practices. The aim of this study was to measure the relative cost-effectiveness of disease surveillance of low-risk PTC patients versus intermediate- and high-risk patients in accordance with American Thyroid Association risk categories.

methodsTwo thousand nine hundred thirty-two patients who underwent thyroidectomy for differentiated thyroid cancer between 2000 and 2010 were identified from the institutional database; 1845 patients were excluded because they had non-PTC cancer, underwent less than total thyroidectomy, had a secondary cancer, or had <36 months of follow-up. In total, 1087 were included for analysis. The numbers of postoperative blood tests, imaging scans and biopsies, clinician office visits, and recurrence events were recorded for the first 36 months of follow-up. Costs of surveillance were determined with the Physician Fee Schedule and Clinical Lab Fee Schedule of the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services.

resultsThe median age was 44 years (range, 7-83 years). In the first 36 months after thyroidectomy, there were 3, 44, and 22 recurrences (0.8%, 7.8%, and 13.4%) in the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk categories, respectively. The cost of surveillance for each recurrence detected was US $147,819, US $22,434, and US $20,680, respectively.

conclusionsThe cost to detect a recurrence in a low-risk patient is more than 6 and 7 times greater than the cost for intermediate- and high-risk PTC patients. It is difficult to justify this allocation of resources to the surveillance of low-risk patients. Surveillance strategies for the low-risk group should, therefore, be restructured.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overCarcinomaCarcinoma, PapillaryChildCost-Benefit AnalysisHematologic TestsHumansMiddle AgedNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalThyroid Cancer, PapillaryThyroidectomyThyroid NeoplasmsYoung Adultcost-effectiveness analysisepidemiologyrecurrencethyroid neoplasmultrasonography

Identifiers

PMID26280253
PMCPMC4976498
OpenAlexW2168903523

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.