Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26272993›Full record

ArticleBiostatistics (Oxford, England)2016

Causal mediation analysis for longitudinal data with exogenous exposure.

M-A C Bind, T J Vanderweele, B A Coull, J D Schwartz

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Biostatistics (Oxford, England), 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 61 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
61citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
8.9field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

61 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 103 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Trial
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  5. Trial
  6. B vitamins attenuate the epigenetic effects of ambient fine particles in a pilot human intervention trial.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2017
    Trial
  7. Observational
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Longitudinal analysis of the ABCD® study.Developmental cognitive neuroscience · 2025
    Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Causal Mediation Analysis for Integrating Exposure, Genomic, and Phenotype Data.Annual review of statistics and its application · 2025
    Article
  16. Practical challenges in mediation analysis: a guide for applied researchers.Health services & outcomes research methodology · 2025
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

1 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

M-A C BindDepartments of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Environmental Health, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA 02115, USA ma.bind@mail.harvard.edu.
T J VanderweeleDepartments of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Environmental Health, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
B A CoullDepartments of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Environmental Health, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
J D SchwartzDepartments of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Environmental Health, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
Harvard University · US

Funding

Translational Research Support CoreP30ES000002 · NIEHS · HARVARD UNIVERSITY (SCH OF PUBLIC HLTH) · PI SUSAN A KORRICK · 1985 to 2026
$44.6M
Statistical Methods for Analysis of Massive Genetic and Genomic Data in Cancer ResearchR35CA197449 · NCI · HARVARD UNIVERSITY D/B/A HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI XIHONG LIN · 2015 to 2026
$10.9M
Statistical Methods for the Spatio-Temporal Assessment of Social Disparities in CancerP01CA134294 · NCI · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI HANEUSE, SEBASTIEN, HERNAN, MIGUEL · 2008 to 2017
$6.8M
Epigenetic Effects of Particles and Metals on Cardiac Health of an Aging CohortR01ES015172 · NIEHS · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI SCHWARTZ, JOEL D · 2006 to 2015
$4.8M
Identification and Inference for Longitudinal Causal Mediation Analysis in HIVR01AI104459 · NIAID · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI SHPITSER, ILYA, VANDERWEELE, TYLER · 2013 to 2017
$2.0M
Theory and methods for sufficient cause interactionsR01ES017876 · NIEHS · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI VANDERWEELE, TYLER · 2010 to 2014
$1.2M
Theory and methods for interactionR56ES017876 · NIEHS · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI TCHETGEN TCHETGEN, ERIC JOEL, VANDERWEELE, TYLER · 2016 to 2016
$150k
NCI NIH HHS P01 CA134294NCI NIH HHS R35 CA197449NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI104459NIEHS NIH HHS 5R01-ES015172NIEHS NIH HHS ES000002NIEHS NIH HHS ES017876NIEHS NIH HHS ES027678NIEHS NIH HHS P30 ES000002
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Mediation analysis is a valuable approach to examine pathways in epidemiological research. Prospective cohort studies are often conducted to study biological mechanisms and often collect longitudinal measurements on each participant. Mediation formulae for longitudinal data have been developed. Here, we formalize the natural direct and indirect effects using a causal framework with potential outcomes that allows for an interaction between the exposure and the mediator. To allow different types of longitudinal measures of the mediator and outcome, we assume two generalized mixed-effects models for both the mediator and the outcome. The model for the mediator has subject-specific random intercepts and random exposure slopes for each cluster, and the outcome model has random intercepts and random slopes for the exposure, the mediator, and their interaction. We also expand our approach to settings with multiple mediators and derive the mediated effects, jointly through all mediators. Our method requires the absence of time-varying confounding with respect to the exposure and the mediator. This assumption is achieved in settings with exogenous exposure and mediator, especially when exposure and mediator are not affected by variables measured at earlier time points. We apply the methodology to data from the Normative Aging Study and estimate the direct and indirect effects, via DNA methylation, of air pollution, and temperature on intercellular adhesion molecule 1 (ICAM-1) protein levels. Our results suggest that air pollution and temperature have a direct effect on ICAM-1 protein levels (i.e. not through a change in ICAM-1 DNA methylation) and that temperature has an indirect effect via a change in ICAM-1 DNA methylation.

Indexed as

Data Interpretation, StatisticalModels, StatisticalAgingDNA MethylationHumansIntercellular Adhesion Molecule-1Intercellular Adhesion Molecule-1Causal mediation analysisGeneralized mixed-effects modelLongitudinal data

Identifiers

PMID26272993
PMCPMC4731412
OpenAlexW2148715837

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.