Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26246553›Full record

ArticleProceedings. Biological sciences2015

Historical data as a baseline for conservation: reconstructing long-term faunal extinction dynamics in Late Imperial-modern China.

Samuel T Turvey, Jennifer J Crees, Martina M I Di Fonzo

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings. Biological sciences, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 34 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
34citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

34 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. New Perspectives on European Wildcat (Ecology and evolution · 2025
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Bending the curve of biodiversity loss requires a 'satnav' for nature.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Is Yuan in China's Three Gorges a Gibbon or a Langur?International journal of primatology · 2022
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Long-term effects of cultural filtering on megafauna species distributions across China.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2020
    Article
  15. Anthropocene refugia: integrating history and predictive modelling to assess the space available for biodiversity in a human-dominated world.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2019
    Article
  16. Insights from the past: unique opportunity or foreign country?Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2019
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Complementarity, completeness and quality of long-term faunal archives in an Asian biodiversity hotspot.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2019
    Article
  19. Using historical and palaeoecological data to inform ambitious species recovery targets.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2019
    Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Samuel T TurveyInstitute of Zoology, Zoological Society of London, Regent's Park, London NW1 4RY, UK samuel.turvey@ioz.ac.uk.
Jennifer J CreesInstitute of Zoology, Zoological Society of London, Regent's Park, London NW1 4RY, UK.
Martina M I Di FonzoARC Centre of Excellence for Environmental Decisions, NERP Environmental Decisions Hub, Centre for Biodiversity and Conservation Science, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Queensland 4072, Australia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Extinction events typically represent extended processes of decline that cannot be reconstructed using short-term studies. Long-term archives are necessary to determine past baselines and the extent of human-caused biodiversity change, but the capacity of historical datasets to provide predictive power for conservation must be assessed within a robust analytical framework. Local Chinese gazetteers represent a more than 400-year country-level dataset containing abundant information on past environmental conditions and include extensive records of gibbons, which have a restricted present-day distribution but formerly occurred across much of China. Gibbons show pre-twentieth century range contraction, with significant fragmentation by the mid-eighteenth century and population loss escalating in the late nineteenth century. Isolated gibbon populations persisted for about 40 years before local extinction. Populations persisted for longer at higher elevations, and disappeared earlier from northern and eastern regions, with the biogeography of population loss consistent with the contagion model of range collapse in response to human demographic expansion spreading directionally across China. The long-term Chinese historical record can track extinction events and human interactions with the environment across much longer timescales than are usually addressed in ecology, contributing novel baselines for conservation and an increased understanding of extinction dynamics and species vulnerability or resilience to human pressures.

Indexed as

Conservation of Natural ResourcesExtinction, BiologicalAnimalsChinaDemographyGeographyHylobatidaePopulation DynamicsTime Factorsdynamic biogeographyevidence-based conservationgazetteergibbonrange collapserange fragmentation

Identifiers

PMID26246553
PMCPMC4632630

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.