Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26227786›Full record

SynthesisAddiction (Abingdon, England)2015

Personality and smoking: individual-participant meta-analysis of nine cohort studies.

Christian Hakulinen, Mirka Hintsanen, Marcus R Munafò, Marianna Virtanen, Mika Kivimäki, George David Batty, Markus Jokela

Abstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Addiction (Abingdon, England), 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 128 papers, 8 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
128citing papers in PubMed, 8 pooled it
16.7field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

128 citing papers in PubMed, 8 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 256 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Personality and Risk of Arthritis in Six Longitudinal Samples.The journals of gerontology. Series B, Psychological sciences and social sciences · 2024
    Pooled it
  3. Personality traits and mediating pathways to mortality risk: A systematic review.Health psychology : official journal of the Division of Health Psychology, American Psychological Association · 2024
    Pooled it
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  6. Neuroticism and Risk of Parkinson's Disease: A Meta-Analysis.Movement disorders : official journal of the Movement Disorder Society · 2021
    Pooled it
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  11. Personality trait and state associations with cognitive functioning and variability in middle-aged and older adults.The journals of gerontology. Series B, Psychological sciences and social sciences · 2026
    Article
  12. A Taxonomy of Data Synthesis.Personality & social psychology bulletin · 2026
    Article
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68 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 5 institutions in 3 countries.

Christian HakulinenInstitute of Behavioural Sciences, University of Helsinki, Finland.
Mirka HintsanenInstitute of Behavioural Sciences, University of Helsinki, Finland.
Marcus R MunafòMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, UK Centre for Tobacco and Alcohol Studies, and School of Experimental Psychology, University of Bristol, UK.
Marianna VirtanenFinnish Institute of Occupational Health, Helsinki, Finland.
Mika KivimäkiDepartment of Epidemiology and Public Health, University College London, UK.
George David BattyDepartment of Epidemiology and Public Health, University College London, UK.
Markus JokelaInstitute of Behavioural Sciences, University of Helsinki, Finland.
Helsinki Institute of Physics · FIUniversity of Helsinki · FIFinnish Institute of Occupational Health · FIUK Centre for Tobacco & Alcohol Studies · GBUniversity College London · GB

Funding

U19 MIDlife in the United States-Diversity Supplement-WellsU19AG051426 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI CAROL D. RYFF · 2016 to 2026
$74.8M
STATISTICS COREP01AG020166 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI RYFF, CAROL D. · 2002 to 2015
$50.6M
Socioeconomic gradient in CHD in early old ageR01HL036310 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF LONDON · PI KIVIMAKI, MIKA J, MARMOT, MICHAEL G · 1986 to 2012
$3.1M
Smoking Relapse-Prevention Intervention for Cancer PatientsR01CA154596 · NCI · H. LEE MOFFITT CANCER CTR & RES INST · PI SIMMONS, VANI N · 2011 to 2015
$2.3M
Health behaviors over the adult lifecourse and cognitive agingR01AG034454 · NIA · UNIVERSITY COLLEGE LONDON · PI KIVIMAKI, MIKA J, SINGH-MANOUX, ARCHANA · 2009 to 2013
$1.5M
Medical Research Council MC_UU_12013/6Medical Research Council MR/K013351/1Medical Research Council MR/K026992/1NCI NIH HHS R01CA154596NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL036310NIA NIH HHS P01 AG020166NIA NIH HHS R01 AG034454NIA NIH HHS R01AG034454NIA NIH HHS U19 AG051426
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsTo investigate cross-sectional and longitudinal associations between personality and smoking, and test whether socio-demographic factors modify these associations.

designCross-sectional and longitudinal individual-participant meta-analysis.

settingNine cohort studies from Australia, Germany, the United Kingdom and the United States.

participantsA total of 79 757 men and women (mean age = 50.8 years). MEASUREMENTS: Personality traits of the five-factor model (extraversion, neuroticism, agreeableness, conscientiousness and openness to experience) were used as exposures. Outcomes were current smoking status (current smoker, ex-smoker and never smoker), smoking initiation, smoking relapse and smoking cessation. Associations between personality and smoking were modelled using logistic and multinomial logistic regression, and study-specific findings were combined using random-effect meta-analysis.

findingsCurrent smoking was associated with higher extraversion [odds ratio per 1 standard deviation increase in the score: 1.16; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.08-1.24], higher neuroticism (1.19; 95% CI = 1.13-1.26) and lower conscientiousness (95% CI = 0.88; 0.83-0.94). Among non-smokers, smoking initiation during the follow-up period was predicted prospectively by higher extraversion (1.22; 95% CI = 1.04-1.43) and lower conscientiousness (0.80; 95% CI = 0.68-0.93), whereas higher neuroticism (1.16; 95% CI = 1.04-1.30) predicted smoking relapse among ex-smokers. Among smokers, smoking cessation was negatively associated with neuroticism (0.91; 95% CI = 0.87-0.96). Socio-demographic variables did not appear to modify the associations between personality and smoking.

conclusionsAdult smokers have higher extraversion, higher neuroticism and lower conscientiousness personality scores than non-smokers. Initiation into smoking is associated positively with higher extraversion and lower conscientiousness, while relapse to smoking among ex-smokers is associated with higher neuroticism.

Indexed as

Extraversion, PsychologicalPersonalityAdultAgedAnxiety DisordersAustraliaCross-Sectional StudiesFemaleGermanyHumansLogistic ModelsLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedNeuroticismOdds RatioCohort studyfive-factor modelmeta-analysispersonalitysmoking

Identifiers

PMID26227786
PMCPMC4609271
OpenAlexW2597916871

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.