Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26215199›Full record

ArticleAnnals of surgical oncology2016

Defining a Valid Age Cutoff in Staging of Well-Differentiated Thyroid Cancer.

Iain J Nixon, Deborah Kuk, Volkert Wreesmann, Luc Morris, Frank L Palmer, Ian Ganly, Snehal G Patel, Bhuvanesh Singh, R Michael Tuttle, Ashok R Shaha and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of surgical oncology, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 58 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
58citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

58 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. A Clinical Nomogram to Predict Survival Outcomes in Patients with Well-Differentiated Thyroid Cancer.Thyroid : official journal of the American Thyroid Association · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Construction of prediction models for determining the risk of lateral lymph node metastasis in patients with thyroid papillary carcinoma based on gender stratification.European archives of oto-rhino-laryngology : official journal of the European Federation of Oto-Rhino-Laryngological Societies (EUFOS) : affiliated with the German Society for Oto-Rhino-Laryngology - Head and Neck Surgery · 2023
    Article
  14. Article
  15. An ultrasound model for predicting recurrence of papillary thyroid carcinoma after complete endoscopic resection.Wideochirurgia i inne techniki maloinwazyjne = Videosurgery and other miniinvasive techniques · 2022
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Nuances in the Surgical Management of Thyroid Cancer.Indian journal of surgical oncology · 2022
    Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Iain J NixonHead and Neck Service, Department of Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, 10021, USA. iainjnixon@gmail.com.
Deborah KukDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA. kukd@mskcc.org.
Volkert WreesmannHead and Neck Service, Department of Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, 10021, USA. vwreesmann@yahoo.com.
Luc MorrisHead and Neck Service, Department of Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, 10021, USA. morrisl@mskcc.org.
Frank L PalmerHead and Neck Service, Department of Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, 10021, USA. fpalmer2@gmail.com.
Ian GanlyHead and Neck Service, Department of Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, 10021, USA. ganlyi@mskcc.org.
Snehal G PatelHead and Neck Service, Department of Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, 10021, USA. patels@mskcc.org.
Bhuvanesh SinghHead and Neck Service, Department of Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, 10021, USA. singhb@mskcc.org.
R Michael TuttleDepartment of Endocrinology, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA. tuttlem@mskcc.org.
Ashok R ShahaHead and Neck Service, Department of Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, 10021, USA. Shahaa@mskcc.org.
Mithat GönenDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA. gonenm@mskcc.org.
Jatin P ShahHead and Neck Service, Department of Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, 10021, USA. shahj@mskcc.org.

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI Nicholas D Socci · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
Functionalizing recurrent FAT1 mutations and deletions in oral cancerK08DE024774 · NIDCR · SLOAN-KETTERING INST CAN RESEARCH · PI MORRIS, LUC GORDON TRANG · 2014 to 2018
$682k
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748NIDCR NIH HHS K08 DE024774
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAge 45 years is used as a cutoff in the staging of well-differentiated thyroid cancer (WDTC) as it represents the median age of most datasets. The aim of this study was to determine a statistically optimized age threshold using a large dataset of patients treated at a comprehensive cancer center.

methodsOverall, 1807 patients with a median follow-up of 109 months were included in the study. Recursive partitioning was used to determine which American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) variables were most predictive of disease-specific death, and whether a different cutoff for age would be found. From the resulting tree, a new age cutoff was picked and patients were restaged using this new cutoff.

resultsThe 10-year disease-specific survival (DSS) by Union for International Cancer Control (AJCC/UICC) stage was 99.6, 100, 96, and 81 % for stages I-IV, respectively. Using recursive partitioning, the presence of distant metastasis was the most powerful predictor of DSS. For M0 patients, age was the next most powerful predictor, with a cutoff of 56 years. For M1 patients, a cutoff at 54 years was most predictive. Having reviewed the analysis, age 55 years was selected as a more robust age cutoff than 45 years. The 10-year DSS by new stage (using age 55 years as the cutoff) was 99.2, 98, 100, and 74 % for stages I-IV, respectively.

conclusionA change in age cutoff in the AJCC/UICC staging for WDTC to 55 years would improve the accuracy of the system and appropriately prevent low-risk patients being overstaged and overtreated.

Indexed as

Cell DifferentiationAdenocarcinomaAdenocarcinoma, FollicularAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsCarcinoma, PapillaryChildChild, PreschoolFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMaleMiddle Aged

Identifiers

PMID26215199
PMCPMC4959904

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.