Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26202593›Full record

ArticleAlimentary pharmacology & therapeutics2015

Economic burden of hepatitis C in Egypt: the future impact of highly effective therapies.

C Estes, M Abdel-Kareem, W Abdel-Razek, E Abdel-Sameea, M Abuzeid, A Gomaa, W Osman, H Razavi, H Zaghla, I Waked

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Alimentary pharmacology & therapeutics, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
25citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

25 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  12. Hepatitis C elimination: a Public Health Perspective.Current treatment options in gastroenterology · 2019
    Review
  13. MicroRNA-215 as a Diagnostic Marker in Egyptian Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma.Asian Pacific journal of cancer prevention : APJCP · 2019
    Article
  14. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

C EstesCenter for Disease Analysis (CDA), Louisville, CO, USA.
M Abdel-KareemNational Liver Institute (NLI), Menoufiya, Egypt.
W Abdel-RazekNational Liver Institute (NLI), Menoufiya, Egypt.
E Abdel-SameeaNational Liver Institute (NLI), Menoufiya, Egypt.
M AbuzeidNational Liver Institute (NLI), Menoufiya, Egypt.
A GomaaNational Liver Institute (NLI), Menoufiya, Egypt.
W OsmanNational Liver Institute (NLI), Menoufiya, Egypt.
H RazaviCenter for Disease Analysis (CDA), Louisville, CO, USA.
H ZaghlaNational Liver Institute (NLI), Menoufiya, Egypt.
I WakedNational Liver Institute (NLI), Menoufiya, Egypt.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe prevalence of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in Egypt is the highest in the world, yet the total economic burden has not been quantified. Improved understanding of costs and the impact of treatment strategies will provide for better allocation of resources to reduce HCV disease and economic burden.

aimA modelling approach was used to quantify the current HCV-infected population, future disease progression and associated costs in Egypt.

methodsDirect healthcare costs were calculated from a nationally representative hospital and a disability adjusted life year (DALY) template was used with monetary value assigned to lost life years. Three scenarios were considered: (i) Historical treatment scenario: 50% SVR; 65,000 treated annually, (ii) Current treatment scenario: 90% sustained virologic response (SVR); 65,000 treated annually, (iii) Increased treatment scenario: 90% SVR; 325,000 treated annually by 2018.

resultsCumulative DALYs (2015-2030) under Scenario 1 were estimated at 7.88 million and cumulative costs estimated at $89.07 billion. Annual DALYs increased 16% during 2015-2030 while annual costs more than doubled. Scenario 2 reduced cumulative DALYs and costs by 7% and 4%, respectively. Under Scenario 3, total costs declined 73% to $1047 million during 2015-2030. As compared to Scenario 1, cumulative DALYs and costs decreased 37% and 35%, respectively.

conclusionsThis is the first estimate of the total economic burden of HCV in Egypt. Extraordinary measures are necessary to substantially reduce HCV disease and cost burden. With newer therapies, strategies to reduce disease burden are feasible and cost-effective.

Indexed as

Disease ProgressionEgyptHealth ExpendituresHepatitis CHumansModels, EconometricPersons with DisabilitiesPrevalenceQuality-Adjusted Life Years

Identifiers

PMID26202593
PMCPMC5034818

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.