Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26191014›Full record

ReviewFrontiers in psychology2015

Illusions of causality: how they bias our everyday thinking and how they could be reduced.

Helena Matute, Fernando Blanco, Ion Yarritu, Marcos Díaz-Lago, Miguel A Vadillo, Itxaso Barberia

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Frontiers in psychology, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 55 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
55citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

55 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Individual differences in the evolution of causal illusions.British journal of psychology (London, England : 1953) · 2025
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Improving the teaching of "Frontiers in psychology · 2025
    Article
  16. "The Secret" to Success? The Psychology of Belief in Manifestation.Personality & social psychology bulletin · 2025
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Perceived Penalties for Sharing Patient Beliefs with Health Care Providers.Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making · 2024
    Article
  20. Proneness to false memory generation predicts pseudoscientific belief endorsement.Cognitive research: principles and implications · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Helena MatuteDepartamento de Fundamentos y Métodos de la Psicología, Universidad de Deusto , Bilbao, Spain.
Fernando BlancoDepartamento de Fundamentos y Métodos de la Psicología, Universidad de Deusto , Bilbao, Spain.
Ion YarrituDepartamento de Fundamentos y Métodos de la Psicología, Universidad de Deusto , Bilbao, Spain.
Marcos Díaz-LagoDepartamento de Fundamentos y Métodos de la Psicología, Universidad de Deusto , Bilbao, Spain.
Miguel A VadilloPrimary Care and Public Health Sciences, King's College London , London, UK.
Itxaso BarberiaDepartamento de Psicología Básica, Universitat de Barcelona , Barcelona, Spain ; EventLab, Departamento de Personalidad, Evaluación y Tratamiento Psicológico, Universitat de Barcelona , Barcelona, Spain.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Illusions of causality occur when people develop the belief that there is a causal connection between two events that are actually unrelated. Such illusions have been proposed to underlie pseudoscience and superstitious thinking, sometimes leading to disastrous consequences in relation to critical life areas, such as health, finances, and wellbeing. Like optical illusions, they can occur for anyone under well-known conditions. Scientific thinking is the best possible safeguard against them, but it does not come intuitively and needs to be taught. Teaching how to think scientifically should benefit from better understanding of the illusion of causality. In this article, we review experiments that our group has conducted on the illusion of causality during the last 20 years. We discuss how research on the illusion of causality can contribute to the teaching of scientific thinking and how scientific thinking can reduce illusion.

Indexed as

causal learningcognitive biasescontingency judgmentillusion of causalityillusion of controlscience teachingscientific methodsscientific thinking

Identifiers

PMID26191014
PMCPMC4488611

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.