Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26186332›Full record

ArticlePloS one2015

Prediction Model for Gastric Cancer Incidence in Korean Population.

Bang Wool Eom, Jungnam Joo, Sohee Kim, Aesun Shin, Hye-Ryung Yang, Junghyun Park, Il Ju Choi, Young-Woo Kim, Jeongseon Kim, Byung-Ho Nam

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 30 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
30citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.2field-weighted citation impact, top 13% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

30 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 46 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  12. Risk prediction model for gastric cancer within 5 years in healthy Korean adults.Gastric cancer : official journal of the International Gastric Cancer Association and the Japanese Gastric Cancer Association · 2024
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  14. Risk Prediction Models for Gastric Cancer: A Scoping Review.Journal of multidisciplinary healthcare · 2024
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  17. Review
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  19. Evaluation of polygenic risk score for risk prediction of gastric cancer.World journal of gastrointestinal oncology · 2023
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Bang Wool EomGastric Cancer Branch, Research Institute & Hospital, National Cancer Center, Goyang-si, Republic of Korea.
Jungnam JooBiometric Research Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Prevention, Research Institute & Hospital, National Cancer Center, Goyang-si, Republic of Korea.
Sohee KimBiometric Research Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Prevention, Research Institute & Hospital, National Cancer Center, Goyang-si, Republic of Korea.
Aesun ShinMolecular Epidemiology Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Prevention, Research Institute & Hospital, National Cancer Center, Goyang-si, Republic of Korea.
Hye-Ryung YangBiometric Research Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Prevention, Research Institute & Hospital, National Cancer Center, Goyang-si, Republic of Korea.
Junghyun ParkBiometric Research Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Prevention, Research Institute & Hospital, National Cancer Center, Goyang-si, Republic of Korea.
Il Ju ChoiGastric Cancer Branch, Research Institute & Hospital, National Cancer Center, Goyang-si, Republic of Korea.
Young-Woo KimGastric Cancer Branch, Research Institute & Hospital, National Cancer Center, Goyang-si, Republic of Korea.
Jeongseon KimMolecular Epidemiology Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Prevention, Research Institute & Hospital, National Cancer Center, Goyang-si, Republic of Korea.
Byung-Ho NamBiometric Research Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Prevention, Research Institute & Hospital, National Cancer Center, Goyang-si, Republic of Korea.
National Cancer Center · KR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPredicting high risk groups for gastric cancer and motivating these groups to receive regular checkups is required for the early detection of gastric cancer. The aim of this study is was to develop a prediction model for gastric cancer incidence based on a large population-based cohort in Korea.

methodBased on the National Health Insurance Corporation data, we analyzed 10 major risk factors for gastric cancer. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to develop gender specific prediction models for gastric cancer development, and the performance of the developed model in terms of discrimination and calibration was also validated using an independent cohort. Discrimination ability was evaluated using Harrell's C-statistics, and the calibration was evaluated using a calibration plot and slope.

resultsDuring a median of 11.4 years of follow-up, 19,465 (1.4%) and 5,579 (0.7%) newly developed gastric cancer cases were observed among 1,372,424 men and 804,077 women, respectively. The prediction models included age, BMI, family history, meal regularity, salt preference, alcohol consumption, smoking and physical activity for men, and age, BMI, family history, salt preference, alcohol consumption, and smoking for women. This prediction model showed good accuracy and predictability in both the developing and validation cohorts (C-statistics: 0.764 for men, 0.706 for women).

conclusionsIn this study, a prediction model for gastric cancer incidence was developed that displayed a good performance.

Indexed as

CalibrationCohort StudiesFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedMultivariate AnalysisProbabilityProportional Hazards ModelsReproducibility of ResultsRepublic of KoreaRisk FactorsStomach Neoplasms

Identifiers

PMID26186332
PMCPMC4506054
OpenAlexW1546483433

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.