Observational studyThe Lancet. Oncology2015
High-dose chemoradiotherapy and watchful waiting for distal rectal cancer: a prospective observational study.
Observational study in The Lancet. Oncology, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to 5 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 224 papers, 11 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
A Prospective Observational Study of Patients With Rectal Cancer After Concomitant Radiation and Chemotherapy
DETECT: Defining the Target Volume for Endoluminal Radiation Boosting in Patients With Rectal Cancer
Chemotherapy Combined With High-dose Radiotherapy for Low Rectal Cancer Using Magnetic Resonance Guided Radiotherapy Linear Accelerator:A Prospective Phase 2 Trial
Evaluation of Clinical Outcome in Asian Patients with Localized Rectal Adenocarcinoma Managed with Watch-and-wait Approach by Developing a Multinational Collaborative Database.
Organ Preservation in Rectal Adenocarcinoma Using Hypofractionated Pelvic Radiotherapy (Hypo-OPRA): A Phase II Clinical Trial
Who cites it
224 citing papers in PubMed, 11 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 542 citations in OpenAlex.
- Economic Evaluation of 'Watch and Wait' Following Neoadjuvant Therapy in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer: A Systematic Review.Annals of surgical oncology · 2025Pooled it
- Evaluating the Effectiveness of Proton Beam Therapy Compared to Conventional Radiotherapy in Non-Metastatic Rectal Cancer: A Systematic Review of Clinical Outcomes.Medicina (Kaunas, Lithuania) · 2024Pooled it
- Efficacy and safety of the "watch-and-wait" approach for rectal cancer with clinical complete response after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy: a meta-analysis.Surgical endoscopy · 2022Pooled it
- A meta-analysis of the watch-and-wait strategy versus total mesorectal excision for rectal cancer exhibiting complete clinical response after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy.World journal of surgical oncology · 2021Pooled it
- Microscopic intramural extension of rectal cancer after neoadjuvant chemoradiation: A meta-analysis based on individual patient data.Radiotherapy and oncology : journal of the European Society for Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology · 2020Pooled it
- Executive Summary of the American Radium Society Appropriate Use Criteria for Local Excision in Rectal Cancer.International journal of radiation oncology, biology, physics · 2019Guideline
- Executive Summary of the American Radium Society Appropriate Use Criteria for Treatment of Anal Cancer.International journal of radiation oncology, biology, physics · 2019Pooled it
- Systematic review and meta-analysis on outcomes of salvage therapy in patients with tumour recurrence during 'watch and wait' in rectal cancer.Annals of the Royal College of Surgeons of England · 2019Pooled it
- Cell-free DNA and preoperative chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer: a systematic review.Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2019Pooled it
- Systematic review of treatment intensification using novel agents for chemoradiotherapy in rectal cancer.The British journal of surgery · 2018Pooled it
- Rectal Cancer, Version 2.2018, NCCN Clinical Practice Guidelines in Oncology.Journal of the National Comprehensive Cancer Network : JNCCN · 2018Guideline
- Premastectomy Radiotherapy and Immediate Breast Reconstruction: A Randomized Clinical Trial.JAMA network open · 2024Trial
- Long-Term Results of Organ Preservation in Patients With Rectal Adenocarcinoma Treated With Total Neoadjuvant Therapy: The Randomized Phase II OPRA Trial.Journal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology · 2024Trial
- Quality-of-life outcomes in older patients with early-stage rectal cancer receiving organ-preserving treatment with hypofractionated short-course radiotherapy followed by transanal endoscopic microsurgery (TREC): non-randomised registry of patients unsuitable for total mesorectal excision.The lancet. Healthy longevity · 2022Trial
- Organ Preservation in Patients With Rectal Adenocarcinoma Treated With Total Neoadjuvant Therapy.Journal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology · 2022Trial
- Long-course neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy with versus without a concomitant boost in locally advanced rectal cancer: a randomized, multicenter, phase II trial (FDRT-002).Radiation oncology (London, England) · 2019Trial
- Long-term Oncological and Functional Outcomes of Chemoradiotherapy Followed by Organ-Sparing Transanal Endoscopic Microsurgery for Distal Rectal Cancer: The CARTS Study.JAMA surgery · 2019Trial
- Preoperative Volumetric Modulated Arc Therapy With Simultaneous Integrated Boost for Locally Advanced Distal Rectal Cancer.Technology in cancer research & treatment · 2019Trial
- Can weBMJ open · 2017Trial
- De-escalated total neoadjuvant therapy for the non-operative management of rectal cancer: Results of the NOM-3/TNT prospective cohort study.Clinical and translational radiation oncology · 2026Article
164 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
9 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundAbdominoperineal resection is the standard treatment for patients with distal T2 or T3 rectal cancers; however, the procedure is extensive and mutilating, and alternative treatment strategies are being investigated. We did a prospective observational trial to assess whether high-dose radiotherapy with concomitant chemotherapy followed by observation (watchful waiting) was successful for non-surgical management of low rectal cancer.
methodsPatients with primary, resectable, T2 or T3, N0-N1 adenocarcinoma in the lower 6 cm of the rectum were given chemoradiotherapy (60 Gy in 30 fractions to tumour, 50 Gy in 30 fractions to elective lymph node volumes, 5 Gy endorectal brachytherapy boost, and oral tegafur-uracil 300 mg/m(2)) every weekday for 6 weeks. Endoscopies and biopsies of the tumour were done at baseline, throughout the course of treatment (weeks 2, 4, and 6), and 6 weeks after the end of treatment. We allocated patients with complete clinical tumour regression, negative tumour site biopsies, and no nodal or distant metastases on CT and MRI 6 weeks after treatment to the observation group (watchful waiting). We referred all other patients to standard surgery. Patients under observation were followed up closely with endoscopies and selected-site biopsies, with surgical resection given for local recurrence. The primary endpoint was local tumour recurrence 1 year after allocation to the observation group. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT00952926. Enrolment is closed, but follow-up continues for secondary endpoints.
findingsBetween Oct 20, 2009, and Dec 23, 2013, we enrolled 55 patients. Patients were recruited from three surgical units throughout Denmark and treated in one tertiary cancer centre (Vejle Hospital, Vejle, Denmark). Of 51 patients who were eligible, 40 had clinical complete response and were allocated to observation. Median follow-up for local recurrence in the observation group was 23·9 months (IQR 15·3-31·0). Local recurrence in the observation group at 1 year was 15·5% (95% CI 3·3-26·3). The most common acute grade 3 adverse event during treatment was diarrhoea, which affected four (8%) of 51 patients. Sphincter function in the observation group was excellent, with 18 (72%) of 25 patients at 1 year and 11 (69%) of 16 patients at 2 years reporting no faecal incontinence at all and a median Jorge-Wexner score of 0 (IQR 0-0) at all timepoints. The most common late toxicity was bleeding from the rectal mucosa; grade 3 bleeding was reported in two (7%) in 30 patients at 1 year and one (6%) of 17 patients at 2 years. There were no unexpected serious adverse reactions or treatment-related deaths.
interpretationHigh-dose chemoradiotherapy and watchful waiting might be a safe alternative to abdominoperineal resection for patients with distal rectal cancer.
fundingCIRRO-The Lundbeck Foundation Center for Interventional Research in Radiation Oncology and The Danish Council for Strategic Research.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.