Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26154932›Full record

Observational studyCritical care medicine2015

Atrial Fibrillation Is an Independent Predictor of Mortality in Critically Ill Patients.

Ciara M Shaver, Wei Chen, David R Janz, Addison K May, Dawood Darbar, Gordon R Bernard, Julie A Bastarache, Lorraine B Ware

Open access · greenAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Critical care medicine, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 82 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
82citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
9.6field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

82 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 158 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. A prospective, multi-site, observational study assessing the treatment thresholds of new onset atrial fibrillation in the critically ill.Critical care and resuscitation : journal of the Australasian Academy of Critical Care Medicine · 2026
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  14. Review
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  17. Targeted Heart Rate Control in Sepsis: A Promising Path or a Double-edged Sword?Indian journal of critical care medicine : peer-reviewed, official publication of Indian Society of Critical Care Medicine · 2024
    Article
  18. Article
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  20. Review

22 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Ciara M Shaver1Division of Allergy, Pulmonary, and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Medicine, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, TN. 2Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Chiayi Christian Hospital, Chiayi, Taiwan. 3Section of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Louisiana State University School of Medicine New Orleans, LA. 4Department of Surgery, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, TN. 5Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, TN. 6Department of Pathology, Microbiology and Immunology, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, TN.
Wei Chen
David R Janz
Addison K May
Dawood Darbar
Gordon R Bernard
Julie A Bastarache
Lorraine B Ware
Vanderbilt University · US

Funding

Clinical and Translational Training Program in Pulmonary MedicineT32HL087738 · NHLBI · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI Lorraine B Ware · 2007 to 2026
$7.0M
Positional Cloning and Candidate Gene Approach to Familial Atrial FibrillationR01HL092217 · NHLBI · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY · PI DARBAR, DAWOOD · 2009 to 2017
$2.9M
Midcareer Investigator Award in Patient-Oriented Research in Acute Lung InjuryK24HL103836 · NHLBI · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI WARE, LORRAINE B · 2010 to 2020
$1.6M
Tissue Factor Mediated Fibrin Deposition in Acute Lung InjuryK08HL090785 · NHLBI · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY · PI BASTARACHE, JULIE ANNE · 2009 to 2013
$629k
NHLBI NIH HHS K08 HL090785NHLBI NIH HHS K24 HL103836NHLBI NIH HHS NIH HL103836NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL092217NHLBI NIH HHS T32 HL087738
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesAtrial fibrillation has been associated with increased mortality in critically ill patients. We sought to determine whether atrial fibrillation in the ICU is an independent risk factor for death. A secondary objective was to determine if patients with new-onset atrial fibrillation have different risk factors or outcomes compared with patients with a previous history of atrial fibrillation.

designProspective observational cohort study.

settingMedical and general surgical ICUs in a tertiary academic medical center. PATIENTS: One thousand seven hundred seventy critically ill patients requiring at least 2 days in the ICU.

interventionsNone. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN

resultsDemographics, medical history, development of atrial fibrillation, fluid balance, echocardiographic findings, medication administration, and hospital mortality were collected during the first 4 days of ICU admission. Atrial fibrillation occurred in 236 patients (13%) (Any AF). Of these, 123 patients (7%) had no prior atrial fibrillation (New-onset AF) while the remaining 113 (6%) had recurrent atrial fibrillation (Recurrent AF). Any AF was associated with male gender, Caucasian race, increased age, cardiac disease, organ failures, and disease severity. Patients with Any AF had increased mortality compared with those without atrial fibrillation (31% vs 17%; p < 0.001), and Any AF was independently associated with death (odds ratio, 1.62; 95% CI, 1.14-2.29; p = 0.007) in multivariable analysis controlling for severity of illness and other confounders. The association of atrial fibrillation with death was magnified in patients without sepsis (odds ratio, 2.92; 95% CI, 1.52-5.60; p = 0.001). Treatment for atrial fibrillation had no effect on hospital mortality. New-onset AF and Recurrent AF were each associated with increased mortality. New-onset AF, but not Recurrent AF, was associated with increased diastolic dysfunction and vasopressor use and a greater cumulative positive fluid balance.

conclusionsAtrial fibrillation in critical illness, whether new-onset or recurrent, is independently associated with increased hospital mortality, especially in patients without sepsis.

Indexed as

Hospital MortalityAgedAtrial FibrillationCritical IllnessFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisProspective StudiesRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID26154932
PMCPMC4725582
OpenAlexW791804894

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.