ArticlePloS one2015
Effects of Health-Related Food Taxes and Subsidies on Mortality from Diet-Related Disease in New Zealand: An Econometric-Epidemiologic Modelling Study.
Article in PloS one, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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Who cites it
26 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Prospects of Food Taxes for Planetary Health: A Systematic Review of Modeling Studies.Nutrition reviews · 2025Pooled it
- Modelling health and economic impact of nutrition interventions: a systematic review.European journal of clinical nutrition · 2023Pooled it
- Effectiveness and Feasibility of Taxing Salt and Foods High in Sodium: A Systematic Review of the Evidence.Advances in nutrition (Bethesda, Md.) · 2020Pooled it
- Policy lessons from health taxes: a systematic review of empirical studies.BMC public health · 2017Pooled it
- Systematic review of dietary salt reduction policies: Evidence for an effectiveness hierarchy?PloS one · 2017Pooled it
- Population health impacts from the taxation of salt and sugar in the United Kingdom.Public health nutrition · 2025Article
- The potential impact of policies and structural interventions in reducing cardiovascular disease and mortality: a systematic review of simulation-based studies.Health technology assessment (Winchester, England) · 2025Article
- Modelling impacts of a salt and sugar tax on hypothetical intra-category food substitutions, BMI and environmental footprints in the UK population.European journal of nutrition · 2024Article
- Salt Reduction and Iodine Fortification Policies Are Compatible: Perspectives for Public Health Advocacy.Nutrients · 2024Review
- Scaling up food pricing policies in the Pacific: a guide to action.BMJ global health · 2023Article
- Article
- Estimating the dietary and health impact of implementing front-of-pack nutrition labeling in Canada: A macrosimulation modeling study.Frontiers in nutrition · 2023Article
- Reshaping Food Policy and Governance to Incentivize and Empower Disadvantaged Groups for Improving Nutrition.Nutrients · 2022Review
- Scaling-up food policies in the Pacific Islands: protocol for policy engagement and mixed methods evaluation of intervention implementation.Nutrition journal · 2022Article
- Potential effect of real-world junk food and sugar-sweetened beverage taxes on population health, health system costs and greenhouse gas emissions in New Zealand: a modelling study.BMJ nutrition, prevention & health · 2022Article
- To what extent could cardiovascular diseases be reduced if Germany applied fiscal policies to increase fruit and vegetable consumption? A quantitative health impact assessment.Public health nutrition · 2021Article
- Ensuring the right to food for indigenous children: a case study of stakeholder perspectives on policy options to ensure the rights of tamariki Māori to healthy food.International journal for equity in health · 2021Article
- Climate Change Mitigation Policies and Co-Impacts on Indigenous Health: A Scoping Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020Article
- The Retail Food Sector and Indigenous Peoples in High-Income Countries: A Systematic Scoping Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020Article
- A social cost-benefit analysis of meat taxation and a fruit and vegetables subsidy for a healthy and sustainable food consumption in the Netherlands.BMC public health · 2020Article
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Authors and funding
8 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundHealth-related food taxes and subsidies may promote healthier diets and reduce mortality. Our aim was to estimate the effects of health-related food taxes and subsidies on deaths prevented or postponed (DPP) in New Zealand.
methodsA macrosimulation model based on household expenditure data, demand elasticities and population impact fractions for 18 diet-related diseases was used to estimate effects of five tax and subsidy regimens. We used price elasticity values for 24 major commonly consumed food groups in New Zealand, and food expenditure data from national Household Economic Surveys. Changes in mortality from cardiovascular disease, cancer, diabetes and other diet-related diseases were estimated.
findingsA 20% subsidy on fruit and vegetables would result in 560 (95% uncertainty interval, 400 to 700) DPP each year (1.9% annual all-cause mortality). A 20% tax on major dietary sources of saturated fat would result in 1,500 (950 to 2,100) DPP (5.0%), and a 20% tax on major dietary sources of sodium would result in 2,000 (1300 to 2,700) DPP (6.8%). Combining taxes on saturated fat and sodium with a fruit and vegetable subsidy would result in 2,400 (1,800 to 3,000) DPP (8.1% mortality annually). A tax on major dietary sources of greenhouse gas emissions would generate 1,200 (750 to 1,700) DPP annually (4.0%). Effects were similar or greater for Maori and low-income households in relative terms.
conclusionsHealth-related food taxes and subsidies could improve diets and reduce mortality from diet-related disease in New Zealand. Our study adds to the growing evidence base suggesting food pricing policies should improve population health and reduce inequalities, but there is still much work to be done to improve estimation of health impacts.
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