Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26147866›Full record

ArticleMedical care2015

Using machine learning to examine medication adherence thresholds and risk of hospitalization.

Wei-Hsuan Lo-Ciganic, Julie M Donohue, Joshua M Thorpe, Subashan Perera, Carolyn T Thorpe, Zachary A Marcum, Walid F Gellad

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Medical care, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 36 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
36citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
4.8field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

36 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 78 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
  5. Trial
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Review
  9. Review
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. SANE (Easy Gait Analysis System): Towards an AI-Assisted Automatic Gait-Analysis.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Using Machine Learning to Predict Early Preparation of Pharmacy Prescriptions at PSMMC - a Comparison of Four Machine Learning Algorithms.Acta informatica medica : AIM : journal of the Society for Medical Informatics of Bosnia & Herzegovina : casopis Drustva za medicinsku informatiku BiH · 2021
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Review
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Wei-Hsuan Lo-Ciganic*Center for Pharmaceutical Policy and Prescribing, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA †Department of Pharmacy, Practice and Science, College of Pharmacy, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ Departments of ‡Health Policy and Management, Graduate School of Public Health §Pharmacy and Therapeutics, School of Pharmacy, University of Pittsburgh ∥Center for Health Equity Research and Promotion, Veterans Affairs Pittsburgh Healthcare System Departments of ¶Biostatistics, Graduate School of Public Health #Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA **Department of Pharmacy, School of Pharmacy, University of Washington, Seattle, WA.
Julie M Donohue
Joshua M Thorpe
Subashan Perera
Carolyn T Thorpe
Zachary A Marcum
Walid F Gellad
University of Pittsburgh · USVA Pittsburgh Healthcare System · USUniversity of Arizona · USUniversity of Washington · US

Funding

University of Pittsburgh Clinical and Translational Science InstituteUL1TR000005 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI REIS, STEVEN E · 2012 to 2015
$50.8M
VARIABILITY, STABILITY & SMOOTHNESS OF WALKINGP30AG024827 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI Caterina Rosano · 2004 to 2026
$28.6M
University of Pittsburgh Clinical and Translational Science InstitutionKL2TR000146 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI REIS, STEVEN E · 2012 to 2015
$8.7M
NCATS NIH HHS KL2 TR000146NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000005NIA NIH HHS P30 AG024827PHS HHS P30 AGAG024827
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundQuality improvement efforts are frequently tied to patients achieving ≥80% medication adherence. However, there is little empirical evidence that this threshold optimally predicts important health outcomes.

objectiveTo apply machine learning to examine how adherence to oral hypoglycemic medications is associated with avoidance of hospitalizations, and to identify adherence thresholds for optimal discrimination of hospitalization risk.

methodsA retrospective cohort study of 33,130 non-dual-eligible Medicaid enrollees with type 2 diabetes. We randomly selected 90% of the cohort (training sample) to develop the prediction algorithm and used the remaining (testing sample) for validation. We applied random survival forests to identify predictors for hospitalization and fit survival trees to empirically derive adherence thresholds that best discriminate hospitalization risk, using the proportion of days covered (PDC). OUTCOMES: Time to first all-cause and diabetes-related hospitalization.

resultsThe training and testing samples had similar characteristics (mean age, 48 y; 67% female; mean PDC=0.65). We identified 8 important predictors of all-cause hospitalizations (rank in order): prior hospitalizations/emergency department visit, number of prescriptions, diabetes complications, insulin use, PDC, number of prescribers, Elixhauser index, and eligibility category. The adherence thresholds most discriminating for risk of all-cause hospitalization varied from 46% to 94% according to patient health and medication complexity. PDC was not predictive of hospitalizations in the healthiest or most complex patient subgroups.

conclusionsAdherence thresholds most discriminating of hospitalization risk were not uniformly 80%. Machine-learning approaches may be valuable to identify appropriate patient-specific adherence thresholds for measuring quality of care and targeting nonadherent patients for intervention.

Indexed as

Artificial IntelligenceDrug MonitoringAdultAgedAged, 80 and overCohort StudiesDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2FemaleHospitalizationHumansHypoglycemic AgentsMaleMedicaidMiddle AgedMultivariate AnalysisPatient ComplianceHypoglycemic Agents

Identifiers

PMID26147866
PMCPMC4503478
OpenAlexW828430974

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.