ArticleMayo Clinic proceedings2015
Incidence and Risk Factors for Progression From Short-term to Episodic or Long-term Opioid Prescribing: A Population-Based Study.
Article in Mayo Clinic proceedings, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 57 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
57 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 135 citations in OpenAlex.
- Rate and Risk Factors Associated With Prolonged Opioid Use After Surgery: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.JAMA network open · 2020Pooled it
- American Society for Enhanced Recovery and Perioperative Quality Initiative Joint Consensus Statement on Perioperative Opioid Minimization in Opioid-Naïve Patients.Anesthesia and analgesia · 2019Guideline
- Opioid Analgesia Following Pediatric Adenotonsillectomy: A Randomized Clinical Trial.Otolaryngology--head and neck surgery : official journal of American Academy of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery · 2025Trial
- Reducing Opioid Analgesic Prescribing in Dentistry Through Prescribing Defaults: A Cluster-Randomized Controlled Trial.Pain medicine (Malden, Mass.) · 2023Trial
- Effect of Changing Electronic Health Record Opioid Analgesic Dispense Quantity Defaults on the Quantity Prescribed: A Cluster Randomized Clinical Trial.JAMA network open · 2021Trial
- Trial
- The Impact of Virtual Reality Hypnosis on Pain and Anxiety Caused by Trauma: Lessons Learned from a Clinical Trial.The International journal of clinical and experimental hypnosisTrial
- Comparative analysis of analgesic mechanisms in craniotomy pediatric patients: a scoping review.Child's nervous system : ChNS : official journal of the International Society for Pediatric Neurosurgery · 2026Article
- Temporal trends in emergency department opioid prescribing and related harms in Alberta, Canada: A population-based cohort study.Canadian journal of public health = Revue canadienne de sante publique · 2026Article
- Association of Liposomal Bupivacaine with Postoperative Pain, Opioid Consumption and Early Functional Exercise in Tibial Plateau Fracture: A Retrospective Cohort Study.Journal of pain research · 2026Article
- Factors associated with long-term opioid use among patients with axial spondyloarthritis or psoriatic arthritis who initiate opioids.Rheumatology (Oxford, England) · 2025Article
- Unintended Prolonged Opioid Use: Protocol for a Case-Controlled Trial.JMIR research protocols · 2025Article
- Patterns of analgesic utilisation among people with knee osteoarthritis: a cohort study using UK primary care data.Journal of pharmaceutical policy and practice · 2025Article
- Mu-Opioid Receptor (MOR) Dependence of Pain in Chemotherapy-Induced Peripheral Neuropathy.The Journal of neuroscience : the official journal of the Society for Neuroscience · 2024Article
- Nanotechnology for Pain Management.Journal of clinical medicine · 2024Review
- Multi-Functional Small Molecule Alleviates Fracture Pain and Promotes Bone Healing.Advanced science (Weinheim, Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany) · 2023Article
- Impact of clinical decision support on controlled substance prescribing.BMC medical informatics and decision making · 2023Observational
- Factors Associated with Prolonged Opioid Use after CMC Arthroplasty.Journal of hand and microsurgery · 2023Article
- A Neural Network Model Using Pain Score Patterns to Predict the Need for Outpatient Opioid Refills Following Ambulatory Surgery: Algorithm Development and Validation.JMIR perioperative medicine · 2023Article
- Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
5 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
Abstract
objectivesTo determine what proportion of a geographically defined population who receive new opioid prescriptions progresses to episodic or long-term patterns of opioid prescribing and to explore the clinical characteristics associated with patterns of opioid prescribing. PATIENTS AND
methodsPopulation-based drug prescription records for the population of Olmsted County between January 1 and December 31, 2009, were obtained using the Rochester Epidemiology Project medical records linkage system (N=142,377). All medical records were reviewed for a random sample of 293 patients who had a new ("incident") prescription for an opioid analgesic in 2009. Patients were followed through their medical records for 1 year after their initial prescription date, with patterns of opioid prescribing categorized as short-term, episodic, or long-term.
resultsOverall, 293 patients received 515 new opioid prescriptions in 2009. Of these, 61 (21%) progressed to an episodic prescribing pattern and 19 (6%) progressed to a long-term prescribing pattern. In multivariable logistic regression analyses, substance abuse was significantly associated (P<.001) with a long-term opioid prescribing pattern as compared with an short-term opioid prescribing pattern. Past or current nicotine use (P=.03) and substance abuse (P=.04) were significantly associated with an episodic or long-term prescribing pattern as compared with a short-term prescribing pattern.
conclusionKnowledge of the clinical characteristics associated with the progression of a short-term to an episodic or long-term opioid prescribing pattern could aid in the identification of at-risk patients and provide the basis for developing targeted clinical interventions.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.