Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26133560›Full record

ArticlePloS one2015

Clinical Utility of a Coronary Heart Disease Risk Prediction Gene Score in UK Healthy Middle Aged Men and in the Pakistani Population.

Katherine E Beaney, Jackie A Cooper, Saleem Ullah Shahid, Waqas Ahmed, Raheel Qamar, Fotios Drenos, Martin A Crockard, Steve E Humphries

Erratum issuedOpen access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 14 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
4.9field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 32 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  4. Review
  5. Genetic Risk Score for Coronary Heart Disease: Review.Journal of personalized medicine · 2020
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 6 institutions in 2 countries.

Katherine E BeaneyCentre for Cardiovascular Genetics, British Heart Foundation Laboratories, Institute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, University Street, London, United Kingdom.
Jackie A CooperCentre for Cardiovascular Genetics, British Heart Foundation Laboratories, Institute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, University Street, London, United Kingdom.
Saleem Ullah ShahidDepartment of Microbiology and Molecular Genetics, New Campus, University of the Punjab, Lahore, Pakistan.
Waqas AhmedDepartment of Microbiology, University of Haripur, Haripur, Pakistan.
Raheel QamarCOMSATS Institute of Information Technology, Park Road, Chak Shahzad, Islamabad, Pakistan.
Fotios DrenosCentre for Cardiovascular Genetics, British Heart Foundation Laboratories, Institute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, University Street, London, United Kingdom; Integrative Epidemiology Unit, School of Social and Community Medicine, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom.
Martin A CrockardMolecular Diagnostics Group, Randox Laboratories Ltd, Crumlin, United Kingdom.
Steve E HumphriesCentre for Cardiovascular Genetics, British Heart Foundation Laboratories, Institute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, University Street, London, United Kingdom.
British Heart Foundation · GBUniversity College London · GBCOMSATS University Islamabad · PKRandox (United Kingdom) · GBUniversity of Haripur · PKUniversity of the Punjab · PK

Funding

British Heart Foundation RG008/08Medical Research Council MC_UU_12013/5PHS HHS NHLBI 33014
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundNumerous risk prediction algorithms based on conventional risk factors for Coronary Heart Disease (CHD) are available but provide only modest discrimination. The inclusion of genetic information may improve clinical utility.

methodsWe tested the use of two gene scores (GS) in the prospective second Northwick Park Heart Study (NPHSII) of 2775 healthy UK men (284 cases), and Pakistani case-control studies from Islamabad/Rawalpindi (321 cases/228 controls) and Lahore (414 cases/219 controls). The 19-SNP GS included SNPs in loci identified by GWAS and candidate gene studies, while the 13-SNP GS only included SNPs in loci identified by the CARDIoGRAMplusC4D consortium.

resultsIn NPHSII, the mean of both gene scores was higher in those who went on to develop CHD over 13.5 years of follow-up (19-SNP p=0.01, 13-SNP p=7x10-3). In combination with the Framingham algorithm the GSs appeared to show improvement in discrimination (increase in area under the ROC curve, 19-SNP p=0.48, 13-SNP p=0.82) and risk classification (net reclassification improvement (NRI), 19-SNP p=0.28, 13-SNP p=0.42) compared to the Framingham algorithm alone, but these were not statistically significant. When considering only individuals who moved up a risk category with inclusion of the GS, the improvement in risk classification was statistically significant (19-SNP p=0.01, 13-SNP p=0.04). In the Pakistani samples, risk allele frequencies were significantly lower compared to NPHSII for 13/19 SNPs. In the Islamabad study, the mean gene score was higher in cases than controls only for the 13-SNP GS (2.24 v 2.34, p=0.04). There was no association with CHD and either score in the Lahore study.

conclusionThe performance of both GSs showed potential clinical utility in European men but much less utility in subjects from Pakistan, suggesting that a different set of risk loci or SNPs may be required for risk prediction in the South Asian population.

Indexed as

Genetic LociPolymorphism, Single NucleotideAsian PeopleCase-Control StudiesCoronary DiseaseDNA, IntergenicGenome-Wide Association StudyHumansMaleMiddle AgedPakistanPrognosisProspective StudiesRisk FactorsROC CurveUnited KingdomDNA, Intergenic

Identifiers

PMID26133560
PMCPMC4489836
OpenAlexW2123963597

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.