ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2015
Forecasting and Analyzing the Disease Burden of Aged Population in China, Based on the 2010 Global Burden of Disease Study.
Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.
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Who cites it
16 citing papers in PubMed, 31 citations in OpenAlex.
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- Prevalence, awareness, treatment and control of hypertension among Ngawa Tibetans in China: a cross-sectional study.BMJ open · 2021Observational
- Cardiometabolic comorbidities and epidemiological features among rural Chinese elderly people.Aging clinical and experimental research · 2020Article
- Prediction of the Number of Patients Infected with COVID-19 Based on Rolling Grey Verhulst Models.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020Review
- Evaluating the Intention and Behaviour of Private Sector Participation in Healthcare Service Delivery via Public-Private Partnership: Evidence from China.Journal of healthcare engineering · 2020Article
- Predicting population age structures of China, India, and Vietnam by 2030 based on compositional data.PloS one · 2019Article
- The analysis of GM (1, 1) grey model to predict the incidence trend of typhoid and paratyphoid fevers in Wuhan City, China.Medicine · 2018Article
- The Tsinghua-Lancet Commission on Healthy Cities in China: unlocking the power of cities for a healthy China.Lancet (London, England) · 2018Review
- The development of the social health scale for the elderly.Health and quality of life outcomes · 2018Article
- Predicting Urban Medical Services Demand in China: An Improved Grey Markov Chain Model by Taylor Approximation.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2017Article
- How great is the medical burden of disease on the aged? Research based on "System of Health Account 2011".Health and quality of life outcomes · 2017Article
- Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs) for Injuries Using Death Certificates and Hospital Discharge Survey by the Korean Burden of Disease Study 2012.Journal of Korean medical science · 2016Article
- Physical activity and health in the presence of China's economic growth: Meeting the public health challenges of the aging population.Journal of sport and health science · 2016Review
- Income-Related Inequalities in Chronic Disease Situation Among the Chinese Population Aged Above 45 Years.Inquiry : a journal of medical care organization, provision and financingArticle
- Prevalence and Patterns of Health Care Use Among Poor Older People Under the Livelihood Empowerment Against Poverty Program in the Atwima Nwabiagya District of Ghana.Gerontology & geriatric medicineArticle
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
7 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundForecasting the disease burden of the elderly will contribute to make a comprehensive assessment about physical and mental status of the elderly in China and provide a basis for reducing the negative consequences of aging society to a minimum.
methodsThis study collected data from a public database online provided by Global Burden of Disease Study 2010. Grey model GM (1, 1) was used to forecast all-cause and disease-specific rates of disability adjusted life years (DALYs) in 2015 and 2020.
resultsAfter cross-sectional and longitudinal analysis, we found that non-communicable diseases (NCDs) were still the greatest threats in the elderly, followed by injuries. As for 136 predicted causes, more than half of NCDs increased obviously with age, less than a quarter of communicable, material, neonatal, and nutritional disorders or injuries had uptrend.
conclusionsThe findings display the health condition of the Chinese elderly in the future, which will provide critical information for scientific and sociological researches on preventing and reducing the risks of aging society.
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