Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26112069›Full record

ArticlePest management science2016

The potential of decision support systems to improve risk assessment for pollen beetle management in winter oilseed rape.

Andrew W Ferguson, Matthew P Skellern, Andreas Johnen, Julia-Sophie von Richthofen, Nigel P Watts, Eileen Bardsley, Darren A Murray, Samantha M Cook

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Pest management science, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
3.1field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 16 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Andrew W FergusonAgroEcology Department, Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, Hertfordshire, UK.
Matthew P SkellernAgroEcology Department, Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, Hertfordshire, UK.
Andreas JohnenproPlant GmbH, Münster, Germany.
Julia-Sophie von RichthofenproPlant GmbH, Münster, Germany.
Nigel P WattsAgroEcology Department, Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, Hertfordshire, UK.
Eileen BardsleyFormerly at Bayer CropScience Ltd, Cambridge, UK (now retired).
Darren A MurrayVSN International Ltd, Hemel Hempstead, Hertfordshire, UK.
Samantha M CookAgroEcology Department, Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, Hertfordshire, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5577-2540
Rothamsted Research · GBPharmaplant (Germany) · DEBayer (United Kingdom) · GBVSN International (United Kingdom) · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe reliance on and extensive use of pyrethroid insecticides have led to pyrethroid resistance in pollen beetle (Meligethes aeneus). Widespread adoption of best practice in pollen beetle management is therefore needed. Decision support systems (DSSs) that identify the risk period(s) for pest migration can help to target monitoring and control efforts, but they must be accurate and labour efficient to gain the support of growers. Weather data and the phenology of pollen beetles in 44 winter oilseed rape crops across England over 4 years were used to compare the performance of two risk management tools: the DSS proPlant expert, which predicts migration risk according to a phenological model and local weather data, and 'rule-based advice', which depends on crop growth stage and a temperature threshold.

resultsBoth risk management tools were effective in prompting monitoring that would detect breaches of various control thresholds. However, the DSS more accurately predicted migration start and advised significantly fewer days of migration risk, consultation days and monitoring than did rule-based advice.

conclusionThe proPlant expert DSS reliably models pollen beetle phenology. Use of such a DSS can focus monitoring effort to when it is most needed, facilitate the practical use of thresholds and help to prevent unnecessary insecticide applications and the development of insecticide resistance.

Indexed as

ColeopteraDecision Support TechniquesAnimalsBrassica napusEnglandInsect ControlRisk AssessmentBrassica napusBrassicogethes aeneusdecision support systemsintegrated pest managementMeligethes aeneusmonitoringphenological model

Identifiers

PMID26112069
PMCPMC5049606
OpenAlexW1852939094

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.