Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26110587›Full record

ArticleViruses2015

Phylodynamics of H5N1 Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza in Europe, 2005-2010: Potential for Molecular Surveillance of New Outbreaks.

Mohammad A Alkhamis, Brian R Moore, Andres M Perez

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Viruses, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

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  8. Integrating molecular epidemiology and social network analysis to study infectious diseases: Towards a socio-molecular era for public health.Infection, genetics and evolution : journal of molecular epidemiology and evolutionary genetics in infectious diseases · 2016
    Review
  9. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Mohammad A AlkhamisEnvironmental and Life Sciences Research Center, Kuwait Institute for Scientific Research, Kuwait City, Safat 13109, Kuwait. mkhamis@kisr.edu.kw.
Brian R MooreDepartment of Evolution and Ecology, Center for Population Biology, University of California Davis, Davis, CA 95616, USA. brianmoore@ucdavis.edu.
Andres M PerezDepartment of Veterinary Population Medicine, College of Veterinary Medicine, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MA 55108, USA. aperez@umn.edu.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Previous Bayesian phylogeographic studies of H5N1 highly pathogenic avian influenza viruses (HPAIVs) explored the origin and spread of the epidemic from China into Russia, indicating that HPAIV circulated in Russia prior to its detection there in 2005. In this study, we extend this research to explore the evolution and spread of HPAIV within Europe during the 2005-2010 epidemic, using all available sequences of the hemagglutinin (HA) and neuraminidase (NA) gene regions that were collected in Europe and Russia during the outbreak. We use discrete-trait phylodynamic models within a Bayesian statistical framework to explore the evolution of HPAIV. Our results indicate that the genetic diversity and effective population size of HPAIV peaked between mid-2005 and early 2006, followed by drastic decline in 2007, which coincides with the end of the epidemic in Europe. Our results also suggest that domestic birds were the most likely source of the spread of the virus from Russia into Europe. Additionally, estimates of viral dispersal routes indicate that Russia, Romania, and Germany were key epicenters of these outbreaks. Our study quantifies the dynamics of a major European HPAIV pandemic and substantiates the ability of phylodynamic models to improve molecular surveillance of novel AIVs.

Indexed as

Disease OutbreaksEpidemiological MonitoringPhylogeographyAnimalsBirdsComputational BiologyDisease Transmission, InfectiousEuropeGenetic VariationHemagglutinin Glycoproteins, Influenza VirusInfluenza A Virus, H5N1 SubtypeInfluenza in BirdsMolecular EpidemiologyNeuraminidasePoultryRussiahemagglutinin, avian influenza A virusHemagglutinin Glycoproteins, Influenza VirusNA protein, influenza A virusNeuraminidaseViral ProteinsBayesian inferenceEuropeH5N1highly pathogenic avian influenzaphylodynamic modelsphylogeographyRussiasurveillance

Identifiers

PMID26110587
PMCPMC4488740

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.