Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26079277›Full record

ArticleInfection, genetics and evolution : journal of molecular epidemiology and evolutionary genetics in infectious diseases2015

Wild waterfowl migration and domestic duck density shape the epidemiology of highly pathogenic H5N8 influenza in the Republic of Korea.

Sarah C Hill, Youn-Jeong Lee, Byung-Min Song, Hyun-Mi Kang, Eun-Kyoung Lee, Amanda Hanna, Marius Gilbert, Ian H Brown, Oliver G Pybus

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Infection, genetics and evolution : journal of molecular epidemiology and evolutionary genetics in infectious diseases, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 53 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
53citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

53 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Sarah C HillDepartment of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 3PS, United Kingdom.
Youn-Jeong LeeAnimal and Plant Quarantine Agency (QIA), 175 Anyangro, Anyangsi, Gyeonggido 430-757, Republic of Korea.
Byung-Min SongAnimal and Plant Quarantine Agency (QIA), 175 Anyangro, Anyangsi, Gyeonggido 430-757, Republic of Korea.
Hyun-Mi KangAnimal and Plant Quarantine Agency (QIA), 175 Anyangro, Anyangsi, Gyeonggido 430-757, Republic of Korea.
Eun-Kyoung LeeAnimal and Plant Quarantine Agency (QIA), 175 Anyangro, Anyangsi, Gyeonggido 430-757, Republic of Korea.
Amanda HannaDepartment of Virology, Animal and Plant Health Agency (APHA), Weybridge KT15 3NB, United Kingdom.
Marius GilbertBiological Control and Spatial Ecology, Université Libre de Bruxelles, B-1050 Brussels, Belgium; Fonds National de la Recherche Scientifique, 1080 Molenbeek-Saint-Jean, Belgium.
Ian H BrownDepartment of Virology, Animal and Plant Health Agency (APHA), Weybridge KT15 3NB, United Kingdom. Electronic address: ian.brown@apha.gsi.gov.uk.
Oliver G PybusDepartment of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 3PS, United Kingdom. Electronic address: oliver.pybus@zoo.ox.ac.uk.

Funding

Wellcome Trust 102427
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) viruses threaten human and animal health yet their emergence is poorly understood, partly because sampling of the HPAI Asian-origin H5N1 lineage immediately after its identification in 1996 was comparatively sparse. The discovery of a novel H5N8 virus in 2013 provides a new opportunity to investigate HPAI emergence in greater detail. Here we investigate the origin and transmission of H5N8 in the Republic of Korea, the second country to report the new strain. We reconstruct viral spread using phylogeographic methods and interpret the results in the context of ecological data on poultry density, overwintering wild bird numbers, and bird migration patterns. Our results indicate that wild waterfowl migration and domestic duck density were important to H5N8 epidemiology. Specifically, we infer that H5N8 entered the Republic of Korea via Jeonbuk province, then spread rapidly among western provinces where densities of overwintering waterfowl and domestic ducks are higher, yet rarely persisted in eastern regions. The common ancestor of H5N8 in the Republic of Korea was estimated to have arrived during the peak of inward migration of overwintering birds. Recent virus isolations likely represent re-introductions via bird migration from an as-yet unsampled reservoir. Based on the limited data from outside the Republic of Korea, our data suggest that H5N8 may have entered Europe at least twice, and Asia at least three times from this reservoir, most likely carried by wild migrating birds.

Indexed as

Animal MigrationAnimalsDisease OutbreaksDucksGenes, ViralInfluenza A virusInfluenza in BirdsMolecular TypingPhylogenyPhylogeographyPoultry DiseasesRepublic of KoreaSequence Analysis, DNAAvian influenzaEcologyH5N8KoreaPhylogeneticsPhylogeography

Identifiers

PMID26079277
PMCPMC4539883

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.