Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26070797›Full record

Observational studyBMJ open2015

Predictive model for patients with poor-grade subarachnoid haemorrhage in 30-day observation: a 9-year cohort study.

Sebastian Szklener, Anna Melges, Agnieszka Korchut, Wojciech Zaluska, Tomasz Trojanowski, Robert Rejdak, Konrad Rejdak

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMJ open, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
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  7. Article
  8. The Relationship Between Obstructive Sleep Apnea and Ruptured Intracranial Aneurysms.Journal of clinical sleep medicine : JCSM : official publication of the American Academy of Sleep Medicine · 2019
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Intracranial aneurysm rupture score may correlate to the risk of rebleeding before treatment of ruptured intracranial aneurysms.Neurological sciences : official journal of the Italian Neurological Society and of the Italian Society of Clinical Neurophysiology · 2019
    Article
  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Sebastian SzklenerDepartment of Neurology, Medical University of Lublin, Poland.
Anna MelgesDepartment of Neurology, Medical University of Lublin, Poland.
Agnieszka KorchutDepartment of Neurology, Medical University of Lublin, Poland.
Wojciech ZaluskaDepartment of Nephrology, Medical University of Lublin, Poland.
Tomasz TrojanowskiDepartment of Neurosurgery, Medical University of Lublin, Poland.
Robert RejdakDepartment of General Ophthalmology, Medical University of Lublin, Poland.
Konrad RejdakDepartment of Neurology, Medical University of Lublin, Poland.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThe purpose of this study was to identify prognostic factors and build the predictive model based on poor-grade subarachnoid haemorrhage (SAH) population received only supportive symptomatic treatment.

designProspective observational cohort study.

settingIntensive care unit at the Clinical Department of Neurology.

participantsA total of 101 patients with spontaneous SAH disqualified from neurosurgical operative treatment due to poor clinical condition. Data were collected over a 9-year period. OUTCOME MEASURES: Unfavourable outcome was defined as a modified Rankin Score ≥ 5 at 30 days of observation.

resultsMultivariable logistic regression analysis indicated the World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies Scale score, increasing age, Fisher grade and admission leucocytosis as independent predictive factors. The proposed scale subdivides the study population into four prognostic groups with significantly different outcomes: grade I: probability of favourable outcome 89.9%; grade II: 47.5%; grade III: 4.2%; grade IV: 0%. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for the prediction of outcome performed by the new scale had an area under the curve (AUC)=0.910 (excellent accuracy).

conclusionsUnfavourable outcome in non-operated patients with poor-grade SAH is strongly predicted by traditional unmodifiable factors such as age, amount of bleeding in CT, level of consciousness as well as leucocytosis. A new predictive scale based on the above parameters seems to reliably predict the outcome and may contribute to more effective planning of therapeutic management in patients with poor-grade SAH.

Indexed as

Critical CareAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsFemaleGlasgow Coma ScaleHumansLeukocytosisLogistic ModelsMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisProspective StudiesSubarachnoid HemorrhageYoung AdultNEUROSURGERY

Identifiers

PMID26070797
PMCPMC4466620

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.