ArticleScientific reports2015
Global Spatio-temporal Patterns of Influenza in the Post-pandemic Era.
Article in Scientific reports, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 36 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
36 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- A systematic review of antibody mediated immunity to coronaviruses: kinetics, correlates of protection, and association with severity.Nature communications · 2020Pooled it
- Resurgence of large-scale influenza A (H1N1) outbreaks: Modeling the interplay of transmission, loss of immunity, and vaccination.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2027Article
- The paradox of rapid and synchronized propagation of seasonal influenza 'A' outbreaks in contrast with COVID-19: a testable hypothesis.Virus research · 2025Article
- Integrating dynamical modeling and phylogeographic inference to characterize global influenza circulation.PNAS nexus · 2025Article
- Deep learning architectures for influenza dynamics and treatment optimization: a comprehensive review.Frontiers in artificial intelligence · 2025Review
- Article
- Antigenic drift and subtype interference shape A(H3N2) epidemic dynamics in the United States.eLife · 2024Article
- Epidemiology of Human Seasonal Coronaviruses Among People With Mild and Severe Acute Respiratory Illness in Blantyre, Malawi, 2011-2017.The Journal of infectious diseases · 2024Observational
- Antigenic drift and subtype interference shape A(H3N2) epidemic dynamics in the United States.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2024Article
- Integrating dynamical modeling and phylogeographic inference to characterize global influenza circulation.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2024Article
- Spatio-temporal evolution patterns of influenza incidence and its nonlinear spatial correlation with environmental pollutants in China.BMC public health · 2023Article
- Comparing the transmission potential from sequence and surveillance data of 2009 North American influenza pandemic waves.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2023Article
- Influenza's Plummeting During the COVID-19 Pandemic: The Roles of Mask-Wearing, Mobility Change, and SARS-CoV-2 Interference.Engineering (Beijing, China) · 2023Article
- Viral transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2 accelerates in the winter, similarly to influenza epidemics.American journal of infection control · 2022Article
- Understanding the rebound of influenza in the post COVID-19 pandemic period holds important clues for epidemiology and control.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2022Article
- North to south gradient and local waves of influenza in Chile.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- The adaptation of SARS-CoV-2 to humans.Memorias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz · 2022Article
- Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Influenza-Like Illness and Prediction of Incidence in High-Risk Regions in the United States from 2011 to 2020.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021Article
- Global Seasonality of Human Seasonal Coronaviruses: A Clue for Postpandemic Circulating Season of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2?The Journal of infectious diseases · 2020Article
- Life course exposures continually shape antibody profiles and risk of seroconversion to influenza.PLoS pathogens · 2020Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
We study the global spatio-temporal patterns of influenza dynamics. This is achieved by analysing and modelling weekly laboratory confirmed cases of influenza A and B from 138 countries between January 2006 and January 2015. The data were obtained from FluNet, the surveillance network compiled by the the World Health Organization. We report a pattern of skip-and-resurgence behavior between the years 2011 and 2013 for influenza H1N1pdm, the strain responsible for the 2009 pandemic, in Europe and Eastern Asia. In particular, the expected H1N1pdm epidemic outbreak in 2011/12 failed to occur (or "skipped") in many countries across the globe, although an outbreak occurred in the following year. We also report a pattern of well-synchronized wave of H1N1pdm in early 2011 in the Northern Hemisphere countries, and a pattern of replacement of strain H1N1pre by H1N1pdm between the 2009 and 2012 influenza seasons. Using both a statistical and a mechanistic mathematical model, and through fitting the data of 108 countries, we discuss the mechanisms that are likely to generate these events taking into account the role of multi-strain dynamics. A basic understanding of these patterns has important public health implications and scientific significance.
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