Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26041492›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2015

Does suicide have a stronger association with seasonality than sunlight?

Richard A White, Deborah Azrael, Fotios C Papadopoulos, Gavin W Lambert, Matthew Miller

Erratum issuedAbstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 17 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Observational
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  12. The effect of meteorological variables on suicide.International journal of biometeorology · 2020
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  17. Impact of Laws Regulating Pain Clinics on Opioid Prescribing and Opioid-Related Toxicity Among Texas Medicare Part D Beneficiaries.The Journal of pharmacy technology : jPT : official publication of the Association of Pharmacy Technicians · 2017
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Richard A WhiteNorwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.
Deborah AzraelDepartment of Health Sciences, Northeastern University, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Fotios C PapadopoulosDepartment of Neuroscience, Psychiatry, Uppsala University, Uppsala University Hospital, Uppsala, Sweden.
Gavin W LambertHuman Neurotransmitters Laboratory, Baker IDI Heart and Diabetes Institute, Melbourne, Australia Central Clinical School, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.
Matthew MillerDepartment of Health Sciences, Northeastern University, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesSuicide rates have widely been reported to peak in spring and summer. A frequent hypothesis is that increased sunlight exposure alters biological mechanisms. However, few attempts have been made to systematically untangle the putative suicidogenic risk of sunlight exposure from that of seasonality. We examined whether average hours of daily sunlight in a month confer additional risk over month of year when predicting monthly suicide rates.

designHistorical population-based ecological longitudinal study. SETTING AND

participantsWe used 3 longitudinal studies (n=31,060 suicides) with monthly suicide and meteorological data from Greece (1992-2001), Victoria, Australia (1990-1998) and Norway (1969-2009).

interventionWe used a negative binomial regression to observe (1) the association of month of year with suicides, adjusting for different sunlight exposures, and (2) the association of sunlight exposure with suicides, adjusting for month of year. We then investigated claims that suicides were associated with daily sunlight exposures, defined by us as 2550 sunlight exposure combinations corresponding to a 1-50 days exposure window with lags of 0-50 days.

resultsUsing monthly data, the association between month of year and suicides remained after adjusting for mean daily hours of sunlight and change in the mean daily hours of sunlight. Adjusted for month of year, the associations between sunlight exposure and suicides became non-significant and attenuated towards the null (the coefficient estimate for mean daily hours of sunlight decreased in absolute magnitude by 72%). The findings were consistent across all 3 cohorts, both when analysed separately and combined. When investigating daily sunlight exposures, we found no significant results after correcting for multiple testing.

conclusionsUsing monthly data, the robustness of our month of year effects, combined with the transient and modest nature of our sunlight effects, suggested that the association between sunlight exposure and suicide was a proxy for the association between seasonality and suicide.

Indexed as

SeasonsSunlightFemaleGreeceHumansIncidenceLongitudinal StudiesMaleNorwaySuicideVictoriaEPIDEMIOLOGYPSYCHIATRY

Identifiers

PMID26041492
PMCPMC4458628

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.