Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26039877›Full record

Trial reportPloS one2015

Human fertility, molecular genetics, and natural selection in modern societies.

Felix C Tropf, Gert Stulp, Nicola Barban, Peter M Visscher, Jian Yang, Harold Snieder, Melinda C Mills

Open access · goldAbstract readClinical TrialMulticenter StudyTwin Study
In one paragraph

Trial report in PloS one, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 44 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
44citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
13.6field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

44 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 98 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  14. Phenotypic Signals of Sexual Selection and Fast Life History Dynamics for the Long-Term but Not Short-Term Mating.Evolutionary psychology : an international journal of evolutionary approaches to psychology and behavior · 2021
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.

Felix C TropfDepartment of Sociology/ ICS, University of Groningen, Groningen, Netherlands.
Gert StulpDepartment of Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, England.
Nicola BarbanDepartment of Sociology/Nuffield College, University of Oxford, Oxford, England.
Peter M VisscherThe Queensland Brain Institute, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia; The University of Queensland Diamantina Institute, The Translational Research Institute, Brisbane, Australia.
Jian YangThe Queensland Brain Institute, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia; The University of Queensland Diamantina Institute, The Translational Research Institute, Brisbane, Australia.
Harold SniederDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, Netherlands.
Melinda C MillsDepartment of Sociology/Nuffield College, University of Oxford, Oxford, England.
University of Groningen · NLUniversity of Oxford · GBUniversity of Queensland · AULondon School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine · GB

Funding

HSRD VA SDR 10-012Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Research on genetic influences on human fertility outcomes such as number of children ever born (NEB) or the age at first childbirth (AFB) has been solely based on twin and family-designs that suffer from problematic assumptions and practical limitations. The current study exploits recent advances in the field of molecular genetics by applying the genomic-relationship-matrix based restricted maximum likelihood (GREML) methods to quantify for the first time the extent to which common genetic variants influence the NEB and the AFB of women. Using data from the UK and the Netherlands (N = 6,758), results show significant additive genetic effects on both traits explaining 10% (SE = 5) of the variance in the NEB and 15% (SE = 4) in the AFB. We further find a significant negative genetic correlation between AFB and NEB in the pooled sample of -0.62 (SE = 0.27, p-value = 0.02). This finding implies that individuals with genetic predispositions for an earlier AFB had a reproductive advantage and that natural selection operated not only in historical, but also in contemporary populations. The observed postponement in the AFB across the past century in Europe contrasts with these findings, suggesting an evolutionary override by environmental effects and underscoring that evolutionary predictions in modern human societies are not straight forward. It emphasizes the necessity for an integrative research design from the fields of genetics and social sciences in order to understand and predict fertility outcomes. Finally, our results suggest that we may be able to find genetic variants associated with human fertility when conducting GWAS-meta analyses with sufficient sample size.

Indexed as

Models, GeneticAdolescentAdultCohort StudiesFemaleFertilityGenetics, MedicalHumansMaleNetherlandsSelection, GeneticUnited Kingdom

Identifiers

PMID26039877
PMCPMC4454512
OpenAlexW590852753

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.